Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W31-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L6-31 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L12-13 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W41-6 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | Win prob:18% | |
| 7 | 10/12 | Win prob:91% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:64% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:74% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:11% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:90% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:6% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:52% |
Data from 2024-09-22
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.0% | 10.0% |
| 5-3 | 1.4% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 13.4% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 42.5% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 33.6% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 8.5% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 0.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-22
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
AuburnKentucky
Georgia
Texas
LSU
Texas A&MCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 0.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
KentuckyTexasTexas A&MCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 13.3%
Data from 2024-09-22
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
11.8%
<0.1%
9.1%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-22
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-22