Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-10-06
Conference Standings
| T1 | 3-0 | 4-1 | 58.1% | ||
| T1 | 2-0 | 5-1 | 64.6% | ||
| T1 | 2-0 | 6-0 | 56.9% | ||
| T1 | 2-0 | 4-1 | 0.4% | ||
| T1 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 1.9% | ||
| T6 | 2-2 | 4-2 | 0.2% | ||
| T6 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 9.8% | ||
| T6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6.0% | ||
| T6 | 1-1 | 5-1 | 1.7% | ||
| T6 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0.2% | ||
| T6 | 1-1 | 4-1 | <0.1% | ||
| T6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | <0.1% | ||
| 13 | 1-2 | 2-3 | - | ||
| 14 | 1-4 | 1-5 | - | ||
| T15 | 0-2 | 3-2 | <0.1% | ||
| T15 | 0-2 | 3-3 | <0.1% | ||
| T15 | 0-2 | 3-3 | <0.1% | ||
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-10-06
Most Likely
CCG Matchups
Data from 2024-10-06
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-06
This Week's Impact on
CCG Odds
Current CCG Probability: 64.6%
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 65.4% (+0.8%) | 64.6% (-0.0%) | |
| 64.8% (+0.2%) | 64.5% (-0.1%) | |
| 64.3% (-0.3%) | 65.9% (+1.4%) | |
| 64.6% (-0.0%) | 64.6% (+0.0%) | |
| 63.7% (-0.9%) | 72.0% (+7.5%) | |
| 64.4% (-0.2%) | 64.8% (+0.2%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 72.0% • Scenario: 10.6%
Data from 2024-10-06
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 8-0 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.4% | 73.2% | 13.3% | <0.1% | 64.6% | |
| 95.9% | 60.7% | 6.6% | <0.1% | 58.1% | |
| 98.5% | 64.4% | 10.7% | <0.1% | 56.9% | |
| - | 99.4% | 18.6% | <0.1% | 9.8% | |
| - | 76.0% | 6.8% | <0.1% | 6.0% | |
| 100% | 83.4% | 9.8% | <0.1% | 1.9% | |
| - | 99.4% | 11.5% | <0.1% | 1.7% | |
| 100% | 83.9% | 16.3% | <0.1% | 0.4% | |
| - | 77.1% | 7.6% | - | 0.2% | |
| - | - | 5.7% | <0.1% | 0.2% | |
| - | - | 3.6% | <0.1% | <0.1% | |
| - | 66.7% | 5.8% | - | <0.1% | |
| - | 83.3% | 6.2% | <0.1% | <0.1% | |
| - | - | 2.9% | - | <0.1% | |
| - | - | 0.9% | - | <0.1% | |
| - | - | - | - | - | |
| - | - | - | - | - |
Data from 2024-10-06
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 8-0 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 1-7 | 0-8 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.1% | 42.8% | 20.4% | 4.2% | 0.4% | <0.1% | - | - | - | 7.0 | |
| 32.6% | 41.7% | 20.3% | 4.8% | 0.6% | <0.1% | 0.0% | - | - | 7.0 | |
| 27.8% | 41.9% | 23.3% | 6.1% | 0.8% | <0.1% | 0.0% | - | - | 6.9 | |
| - | 5.1% | 25.2% | 38.9% | 23.7% | 6.3% | 0.8% | <0.1% | - | 5.0 | |
| - | 5.8% | 24.0% | 35.8% | 24.5% | 8.3% | 1.4% | <0.1% | - | 4.9 | |
| - | 0.8% | 8.0% | 24.5% | 34.1% | 23.6% | 8.1% | 1.1% | - | 4.0 | |
| <0.1% | 1.3% | 7.9% | 23.4% | 33.9% | 24.2% | 8.2% | 1.0% | - | 4.0 | |
| - | - | 2.7% | 18.7% | 40.1% | 31.1% | 7.4% | - | - | 3.8 | |
| - | - | 2.4% | 17.5% | 35.4% | 30.2% | 12.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 3.6 | |
| <0.1% | 0.1% | 1.7% | 9.9% | 28.3% | 39.6% | 20.4% | - | - | 3.3 | |
| - | - | 2.1% | 12.0% | 26.9% | 31.7% | 20.0% | 6.6% | 0.8% | 3.2 | |
| - | <0.1% | 1.4% | 9.0% | 26.6% | 35.8% | 22.2% | 5.0% | - | 3.2 | |
| - | - | 0.8% | 6.8% | 21.5% | 34.4% | 26.5% | 9.0% | 1.0% | 2.9 | |
| - | <0.1% | 0.4% | 3.7% | 16.5% | 35.0% | 33.4% | 11.0% | - | 2.7 | |
| - | <0.1% | 0.4% | 3.6% | 14.7% | 31.2% | 34.6% | 15.3% | - | 2.6 | |
| - | - | - | - | 2.5% | 24.6% | 51.1% | 21.8% | - | 2.1 | |
| - | - | <0.1% | 0.2% | 2.8% | 16.5% | 43.9% | 36.6% | - | 1.9 |
Data from 2024-10-06