Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-10-06

Atlantic Coast ConferenceConference Standings

T1ClemsonCLEM3-04-158.1%
T1SMUSMU2-05-164.6%
T1Miami FLMIA2-06-056.9%
T1VirginiaUVA2-04-10.4%
T1PittsburghPITT1-05-01.9%
T6Georgia TechGT2-24-20.2%
T6LouisvilleLOU1-13-29.8%
T6Virginia TechVT1-13-36.0%
T6DukeDUKE1-15-11.7%
T6Boston CollegeBC1-14-20.2%
T6SyracuseSYR1-14-1<0.1%
T6Wake ForestWAKE1-12-3<0.1%
13StanfordSTAN1-22-3-
14Florida StFSU1-41-5-
T15CaliforniaCAL0-23-2<0.1%
T15NC StateNCSU0-23-3<0.1%
T15North CarolinaUNC0-23-3<0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulationsData from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 64.6%
Game
SMUCCG OddsAway
SMUCCG OddsHome
65.4%
(+0.8%)
64.6%
(-0.0%)
64.8%
(+0.2%)
64.5%
(-0.1%)
64.3%
(-0.3%)
65.9%
(+1.4%)
64.6%
(-0.0%)
64.6%
(+0.0%)
63.7%
(-0.9%)
72.0%
(+7.5%)
64.4%
(-0.2%)
64.8%
(+0.2%)

Best Winner Combination for SMU

StanfordStanfordSyracuseSyracuseVirginiaVirginiaWake ForestWake Forest

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for SMU

Wake ForestWake Forest

CCG: 72.0% • Scenario: 10.6%

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-25-3Overall
SMUSMU96.4%73.2%13.3%<0.1%64.6%
ClemsonCLEM95.9%60.7%6.6%<0.1%58.1%
Miami FLMIA98.5%64.4%10.7%<0.1%56.9%
LouisvilleLOU-99.4%18.6%<0.1%9.8%
Virginia TechVT-76.0%6.8%<0.1%6.0%
PittsburghPITT100%83.4%9.8%<0.1%1.9%
DukeDUKE-99.4%11.5%<0.1%1.7%
VirginiaUVA100%83.9%16.3%<0.1%0.4%
Boston CollegeBC-77.1%7.6%-0.2%
Georgia TechGT--5.7%<0.1%0.2%
CaliforniaCAL--3.6%<0.1%<0.1%
SyracuseSYR-66.7%5.8%-<0.1%
Wake ForestWAKE-83.3%6.2%<0.1%<0.1%
NC StateNCSU--2.9%-<0.1%
North CarolinaUNC--0.9%-<0.1%
Florida StFSU-----
StanfordSTAN-----

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
ClemsonCLEM(3-0)32.1%42.8%20.4%4.2%0.4%<0.1%---7.0
SMUSMU(2-0)32.6%41.7%20.3%4.8%0.6%<0.1%0.0%--7.0
Miami FLMIA(2-0)27.8%41.9%23.3%6.1%0.8%<0.1%0.0%--6.9
LouisvilleLOU(1-1)-5.1%25.2%38.9%23.7%6.3%0.8%<0.1%-5.0
Virginia TechVT(1-1)-5.8%24.0%35.8%24.5%8.3%1.4%<0.1%-4.9
DukeDUKE(1-1)-0.8%8.0%24.5%34.1%23.6%8.1%1.1%-4.0
PittsburghPITT(1-0)<0.1%1.3%7.9%23.4%33.9%24.2%8.2%1.0%-4.0
Georgia TechGT(2-2)--2.7%18.7%40.1%31.1%7.4%--3.8
CaliforniaCAL(0-2)--2.4%17.5%35.4%30.2%12.0%2.3%0.1%3.6
VirginiaUVA(2-0)<0.1%0.1%1.7%9.9%28.3%39.6%20.4%--3.3
North CarolinaUNC(0-2)--2.1%12.0%26.9%31.7%20.0%6.6%0.8%3.2
Boston CollegeBC(1-1)-<0.1%1.4%9.0%26.6%35.8%22.2%5.0%-3.2
NC StateNCSU(0-2)--0.8%6.8%21.5%34.4%26.5%9.0%1.0%2.9
Wake ForestWAKE(1-1)-<0.1%0.4%3.7%16.5%35.0%33.4%11.0%-2.7
SyracuseSYR(1-1)-<0.1%0.4%3.6%14.7%31.2%34.6%15.3%-2.6
Florida StFSU(1-4)----2.5%24.6%51.1%21.8%-2.1
StanfordSTAN(1-2)--<0.1%0.2%2.8%16.5%43.9%36.6%-1.9

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com