Charlotte49ers

3-3 T1st (2-0) in AAC

Data from 2024-10-13 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsJames MadisonJMU	L7-30
2	9/07	@North CarolinaUNC	L20-38
3	9/14	vsGardner-WebbGWEB	W27-26
4	9/21	@IndianaIU	L14-52
5	9/28	@RiceRICE	W21-20
6	10/05	vsEast CarolinaECU	W55-24
8	10/19	@NavyNAVY	Win prob:11%
9	10/26	@MemphisMEM	Win prob:9%
10	10/31	vsTulaneTULN	Win prob:7%
12	11/16	vsSouth FloridaUSF	Win prob:48%
13	11/23	@Florida AtlanticFAU	Win prob:38%
14	11/30	vsUABUAB	Win prob:78%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0.0%	100.0%
7-1	0.3%	74.5%
6-2	4.3%	4.8%
5-3	20.9%	0%
4-4	40.1%	0%
3-5	28.9%	0%
2-6	5.5%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

52.2%

28.3%

8.7%

6.5%

4.3%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Florida AtlanticFAU@UTSAUTSA	0.5% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
TulsaTLSA@TempleTEM	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
North TexasUNT@MemphisMEM	0.4% (-0.1%)	0.5% (+0.0%)
RiceRICE@TulaneTULN	0.7% (+0.2%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
CharlotteCLT@NavyNAVY	2.9% (+2.5%)	0.1% (-0.3%)
East CarolinaECU@ArmyARMY	0.8% (+0.4%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
UABUAB@South FloridaUSF	0.5% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Florida Atlantic

Temple

North Texas

Charlotte

East Carolina

UAB

CCG: 33.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Charlotte

CCG: 2.9% • Scenario: 11.4%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

73.8%

0.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

92.0%

0.1%

73.8%

<0.1%

54.3%

0.1%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com