Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L14-34 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W69-7 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L7-33 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L14-37 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L20-21 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W29-27 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:3% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:18% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:17% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:7% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:61% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:43% |
Data from 2024-10-13
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.0% | 23.1% |
| 5-3 | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 4-4 | 7.1% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 32.1% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 43.6% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 16.7% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-13
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.1%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Florida Atlantic
Temple
MemphisRice
Charlotte
Army
South FloridaCCG: 2.3% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
TempleMemphisRiceSouth FloridaCCG: 0.2% • Scenario: 1.4%
Data from 2024-10-13
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-13