Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L7-27 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L12-16 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W33-7 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L0-34 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L0-20 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W30-19 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:27% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:31% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:16% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:17% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:49% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:13% |
Data from 2024-10-13
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | 0.0% | 41.2% |
| 6-3 | 0.3% | 2.2% |
| 5-4 | 3.1% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 13.3% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 31.5% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 36.2% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 15.6% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-13
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-13
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
BYU
TCU
Colorado
Arizona State
Kansas State
Baylor
Iowa StateHoustonCCG: 1.3% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
HoustonCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 26.9%
Data from 2024-10-13
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
41.2%
<0.1%Data from 2024-10-13
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-13