Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-10-13

Atlantic Coast ConferenceConference Standings

T1ClemsonCLEM4-05-166.1%
T1SMUSMU2-05-161.6%
T1Miami FLMIA2-06-054.5%
T1PittsburghPITT2-06-02.5%
T5LouisvilleLOU2-14-28.8%
T5SyracuseSYR2-15-10.1%
T5VirginiaUVA2-14-2<0.1%
8Georgia TechGT3-25-20.2%
T9Virginia TechVT1-13-34.6%
T9DukeDUKE1-15-11.4%
T9Boston CollegeBC1-14-20.1%
T12StanfordSTAN1-22-4-
T12Wake ForestWAKE1-22-4-
14Florida StFSU1-41-5-
T15CaliforniaCAL0-33-3-
T15NC StateNCSU0-33-4-
T15North CarolinaUNC0-33-4-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Matchups

132.7%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
SMUSMU
227.6%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
MIAMiami FL
322.4%
Miami FLMIA
vs
SMUSMU
44.3%
LouisvilleLOU
vs
SMUSMU
52.7%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
LOULouisville
62.0%
Miami FLMIA
vs
VTVirginia Tech
71.4%
LouisvilleLOU
vs
MIAMiami FL
81.2%
SMUSMU
vs
VTVirginia Tech
91.1%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
VTVirginia Tech
100.9%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
PITTPittsburgh
110.9%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
DUKEDuke
120.8%
Miami FLMIA
vs
PITTPittsburgh
130.6%
PittsburghPITT
vs
SMUSMU
140.2%
DukeDUKE
vs
SMUSMU
150.2%
LouisvilleLOU
vs
VTVirginia Tech

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 66.1%
Game
ClemsonCCG OddsAway
ClemsonCCG OddsHome
Miami FLMIA@LouisvilleLOU
59.5%
(-6.6%)		76.2%
(+10.1%)
Notre DameND@Georgia TechGT
66.1%
(-0.1%)		66.8%
(+0.6%)
Wake ForestWAKE@UConnCONN
65.8%
(-0.3%)		66.3%
(+0.1%)
SMUSMU@StanfordSTAN
65.3%
(-0.8%)		79.3%
(+13.2%)
Boston CollegeBC@Virginia TechVT
66.4%
(+0.3%)		66.1%
(-0.1%)
NC StateNCSU@CaliforniaCAL
68.3%
(+2.2%)		65.2%
(-0.9%)
Florida StFSU@DukeDUKE
67.0%
(+0.9%)		65.7%
(-0.4%)
VirginiaUVA@ClemsonCLEM
34.9%
(-31.3%)		67.9%
(+1.8%)

Best Winner Combination for Clemson

Georgia TechGeorgia TechStanfordStanfordNC StateNC StateVirginiaVirginia

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Clemson

LouisvilleLouisvilleClemsonClemson

CCG: 77.8% • Scenario: 37.5%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-25-3Overall
ClemsonCLEM94.6%56.1%3.2%-66.1%
SMUSMU95.2%68.3%9.2%<0.1%61.6%
Miami FLMIA99.3%59.5%7.2%<0.1%54.5%
LouisvilleLOU-99.9%15.0%<0.1%8.8%
Virginia TechVT-79.0%4.8%<0.1%4.6%
PittsburghPITT100%80.4%6.5%<0.1%2.5%
DukeDUKE-97.8%5.7%-1.4%
Georgia TechGT--3.4%-0.2%
Boston CollegeBC-70.8%6.1%-0.1%
SyracuseSYR-57.4%2.8%-0.1%
VirginiaUVA-85.2%8.0%-<0.1%
CaliforniaCAL-----
Florida StFSU-----
NC StateNCSU-----
North CarolinaUNC-----
StanfordSTAN--16.7%--
Wake ForestWAKE--2.5%--

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
ClemsonCLEM(4-0)45.3%40.7%12.4%1.5%<0.1%----7.3
SMUSMU(2-0)32.6%42.1%20.0%4.8%0.6%<0.1%0.0%--7.0
Miami FLMIA(2-0)28.0%42.1%23.1%6.0%0.8%<0.1%0.0%--6.9
LouisvilleLOU(2-1)-4.7%27.4%43.0%21.0%3.8%0.2%--5.1
Virginia TechVT(1-1)-4.5%21.9%35.8%26.5%9.6%1.7%0.1%-4.8
PittsburghPITT(2-0)0.1%2.0%12.1%31.9%35.1%16.2%2.5%--4.4
Georgia TechGT(3-2)--5.9%32.4%48.1%13.6%---4.3
DukeDUKE(1-1)-0.9%8.8%25.8%34.5%22.3%6.8%0.8%-4.1
SyracuseSYR(2-1)-0.1%1.7%10.3%29.0%38.9%20.0%--3.4
CaliforniaCAL(0-3)---5.6%34.6%39.0%17.4%3.2%0.2%3.2
VirginiaUVA(2-1)-<0.1%0.7%6.4%25.9%43.3%23.6%--3.2
Boston CollegeBC(1-1)-<0.1%1.5%9.2%25.9%35.7%22.4%5.2%-3.2
North CarolinaUNC(0-3)---4.2%20.0%35.1%28.4%10.7%1.5%2.7
Wake ForestWAKE(1-2)--<0.1%1.4%10.4%31.3%40.7%16.3%-2.4
NC StateNCSU(0-3)---0.9%8.0%26.1%38.3%23.4%3.3%2.1
Florida StFSU(1-4)----2.6%25.3%50.9%21.2%-2.1
StanfordSTAN(1-2)--<0.1%0.1%2.2%15.6%44.4%37.6%-1.8

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com