ClemsonTigers

5-1 T1st (4-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-10-13 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

66.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsGeorgiaUGA(N)	L3-34
2	9/07	vsApp StateAPP	W66-20
4	9/21	vsNC StateNCSU	W59-35
5	9/28	vsStanfordSTAN	W40-14
6	10/05	@Florida StateFSU	W29-13
7	10/12	@Wake ForestWAKE	W49-14
8	10/19	vsVirginiaUVA	Win prob:95%
10	11/02	vsLouisvilleLOU	Win prob:78%
11	11/09	@Virginia TechVT	Win prob:72%
12	11/16	@PittsburghPITT	Win prob:85%
13	11/23	vsThe CitadelCIT	Win prob:90%
14	11/30	vsSouth CarolinaSC	Win prob:82%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	45.3%	94.6%
7-1	40.7%	56.1%
6-2	12.4%	3.2%
5-3	1.5%	0%
4-4	0.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

50.3%

42.5%

4.1%

1.7%

1.4%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
MiamiMIA@LouisvilleLOU	59.5% (-6.6%)	76.2% (+10.1%)
Notre DameND@Georgia TechGT	66.1% (-0.1%)	66.8% (+0.6%)
Wake ForestWAKE@UConnCONN	65.8% (-0.3%)	66.3% (+0.1%)
SMUSMU@StanfordSTAN	65.3% (-0.8%)	79.3% (+13.2%)
Boston CollegeBC@Virginia TechVT	66.4% (+0.3%)	66.1% (-0.1%)
NC StateNCSU@CaliforniaCAL	68.3% (+2.2%)	65.2% (-0.9%)
Florida StateFSU@DukeDUKE	67.0% (+0.9%)	65.7% (-0.4%)
VirginiaUVA@ClemsonCLEM	34.9% (-31.3%)	67.9% (+1.8%)

Best Winner Combination for

Georgia Tech

Stanford

NC State

Virginia

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Louisville

Clemson

CCG: 77.8% • Scenario: 37.5%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

94.7%

33.4%

Any 1 loss

66.3%

41.1%

94.4%

7.4%

94.0%

3.7%

71.5%

1.9%

63.1%

5.9%

62.1%

13.0%

39.6%

9.2%

Any 2 losses

33.4%

20.0%

93.3%

0.8%

67.3%

0.4%

66.1%

0.7%

63.7%

1.4%

63.2%

2.8%

62.3%

1.4%

60.2%

0.2%

41.0%

2.0%

38.8%

1.1%

9.9%

0.4%

5.5%

0.8%

5.4%

2.3%

2.1%

0.5%

1.8%

1.6%

1.5%

3.6%

Any 3 losses

14.1%

3.7%

69.7%

0.1%

65.1%

0.3%

58.7%

<0.1%

40.7%

0.2%

18.6%

<0.1%

11.8%

<0.1%

6.7%

0.1%

4.4%

0.5%

4.0%

0.1%

3.7%

0.2%

3.7%

<0.1%

2.7%

0.2%

2.1%

<0.1%

1.4%

0.4%

1.2%

0.8%

1.1%

0.4%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com