Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.1%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W34-13 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W31-30 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L13-27 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W43-24 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W24-14 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | L20-24 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:5% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:49% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:30% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:2% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:16% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:17% |
Data from 2024-10-13
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 0.0% | 85.2% |
| 6-2 | 0.7% | 8.0% |
| 5-3 | 6.4% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 25.9% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 43.3% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 23.6% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-13
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-13
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.1%) | 0.1% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 1.1% (+1.0%) | 0.0% (-0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Miami
Georgia Tech
Wake Forest
Stanford
Virginia TechVirginiaCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
VirginiaCCG: 1.1% • Scenario: 5.4%
Data from 2024-10-13
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Any 1 loss
85.2%
<0.1%
85.2%
<0.1%
25.0%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
8.0%
0.7%18.2%
<0.1%
15.4%
<0.1%14.2%
0.1%
6.4%
0.1%
4.8%
0.4%Data from 2024-10-13
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-13