Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | L27-34 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W41-7 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | W26-24 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L14-40 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | L7-31 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | L7-49 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:6% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:42% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:17% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:9% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:10% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:10% |
Data from 2024-10-13
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.0% | 16.7% |
| 5-3 | 0.1% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 2.2% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 15.6% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 44.4% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 37.6% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-13
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Louisville
Notre Dame
UConnStanford
Virginia Tech
California
Florida State
ClemsonCCG: 0.4% • Scenario: 0.3%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
LouisvilleNotre DameUConnStanfordVirginia TechCaliforniaFlorida StateClemsonCCG: 0.4% • Scenario: 0.3%
Data from 2024-10-13
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-13