Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-10-20

Atlantic Coast ConferenceConference Standings

T1ClemsonCLEM5-06-160.0%
T1Miami FLMIA3-07-074.9%
T1SMUSMU3-06-153.6%
T1PittsburghPITT2-06-01.8%
T5Virginia TechVT2-14-36.5%
T5DukeDUKE2-16-11.8%
T5SyracuseSYR2-15-1<0.1%
8Georgia TechGT3-25-30.2%
T9LouisvilleLOU2-24-31.2%
T9VirginiaUVA2-24-3<0.1%
T11Boston CollegeBC1-24-3<0.1%
T11Wake ForestWAKE1-23-4-
T13NC StateNCSU1-34-4-
T13StanfordSTAN1-32-5-
15Florida StFSU1-51-6-
T16CaliforniaCAL0-43-4-
T16North CarolinaUNC0-33-4-

Based on 100,000 simulationsData from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 74.9%
Game
Miami FLCCG OddsAway
Miami FLCCG OddsHome
69.8%
(-5.1%)
85.4%
(+10.5%)
75.9%
(+1.0%)
74.4%
(-0.4%)
76.2%
(+1.4%)
74.3%
(-0.6%)
75.6%
(+0.8%)
73.6%
(-1.3%)
75.3%
(+0.5%)
74.4%
(-0.5%)
74.6%
(-0.2%)
75.1%
(+0.2%)
33.6%
(-41.3%)
80.2%
(+5.4%)
75.0%
(+0.1%)
74.5%
(-0.4%)

Best Winner Combination for Miami FL

DukeDukeSyracuseSyracuseGeorgia TechGeorgia TechStanfordStanfordVirginiaVirginiaCaliforniaCaliforniaFlorida StFlorida StateBoston CollegeBoston College

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Miami FL

Miami FLMiami

CCG: 80.2% • Scenario: 88.5%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-25-3Overall
Miami FLMIA99.1%70.5%9.0%-74.9%
ClemsonCLEM94.5%40.4%1.1%-60.0%
SMUSMU86.4%46.2%3.2%-53.6%
Virginia TechVT-74.6%3.3%<0.1%6.5%
PittsburghPITT100%68.0%2.6%-1.8%
DukeDUKE-99.7%5.0%-1.8%
LouisvilleLOU--9.8%<0.1%1.2%
Georgia TechGT--3.1%-0.2%
SyracuseSYR-56.9%1.9%-<0.1%
Boston CollegeBC--4.3%-<0.1%
VirginiaUVA--3.2%<0.1%<0.1%
CaliforniaCAL-----
Florida StFSU-----
NC StateNCSU-----
North CarolinaUNC-----
StanfordSTAN-----
Wake ForestWAKE--2.0%--

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
ClemsonCLEM(5-0)45.6%41.5%11.8%1.1%-----7.3
Miami FLMIA(3-0)46.5%39.3%12.4%1.7%0.1%0.0%---7.3
SMUSMU(3-0)39.1%41.7%16.1%2.8%0.3%<0.1%---7.2
Virginia TechVT(2-1)-7.3%30.1%37.9%19.9%4.5%0.4%--5.1
LouisvilleLOU(2-2)--11.9%52.4%29.8%5.5%0.3%--4.7
PittsburghPITT(2-0)0.1%2.0%12.4%32.9%34.8%15.4%2.4%--4.4
DukeDUKE(2-1)-1.2%11.0%32.0%36.2%17.0%2.6%--4.4
Georgia TechGT(3-2)--5.5%31.2%49.1%14.2%---4.3
SyracuseSYR(2-1)-0.1%1.8%10.4%29.5%38.8%19.5%--3.4
VirginiaUVA(2-2)--0.3%4.9%24.0%44.9%25.9%--3.1
NC StateNCSU(1-3)---3.3%20.1%41.6%30.8%4.2%-2.9
Boston CollegeBC(1-2)--0.2%3.9%19.5%37.0%30.6%8.9%-2.8
North CarolinaUNC(0-3)---4.6%20.9%35.0%27.8%10.3%1.4%2.8
Wake ForestWAKE(1-2)--<0.1%1.7%11.8%33.2%39.3%13.9%-2.5
CaliforniaCAL(0-4)----6.8%44.6%37.8%10.1%0.7%2.5
Florida StFSU(1-5)-----7.3%59.9%32.8%-1.7
StanfordSTAN(1-3)---<0.1%1.2%11.6%42.8%44.4%-1.7

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com