Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-10-20
Conference Standings
| T1 | 5-0 | 6-1 | 60.0% | ||
| T1 | 3-0 | 7-0 | 74.9% | ||
| T1 | 3-0 | 6-1 | 53.6% | ||
| T1 | 2-0 | 6-0 | 1.8% | ||
| T5 | 2-1 | 4-3 | 6.5% | ||
| T5 | 2-1 | 6-1 | 1.8% | ||
| T5 | 2-1 | 5-1 | <0.1% | ||
| 8 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0.2% | ||
| T9 | 2-2 | 4-3 | 1.2% | ||
| T9 | 2-2 | 4-3 | <0.1% | ||
| T11 | 1-2 | 4-3 | <0.1% | ||
| T11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | - | ||
| T13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | - | ||
| T13 | 1-3 | 2-5 | - | ||
| 15 | 1-5 | 1-6 | - | ||
| T16 | 0-4 | 3-4 | - | ||
| T16 | 0-3 | 3-4 | - | ||
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-10-20
Most Likely
CCG Matchups
Data from 2024-10-20
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-20
This Week's Impact on
CCG Odds
Current CCG Probability: 74.9%
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 69.8% (-5.1%) | 85.4% (+10.5%) | |
| 75.9% (+1.0%) | 74.4% (-0.4%) | |
| 76.2% (+1.4%) | 74.3% (-0.6%) | |
| 75.6% (+0.8%) | 73.6% (-1.3%) | |
| 75.3% (+0.5%) | 74.4% (-0.5%) | |
| 74.6% (-0.2%) | 75.1% (+0.2%) | |
| 33.6% (-41.3%) | 80.2% (+5.4%) | |
| 75.0% (+0.1%) | 74.5% (-0.4%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 80.2% • Scenario: 88.5%
Data from 2024-10-20
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 8-0 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99.1% | 70.5% | 9.0% | - | 74.9% | |
| 94.5% | 40.4% | 1.1% | - | 60.0% | |
| 86.4% | 46.2% | 3.2% | - | 53.6% | |
| - | 74.6% | 3.3% | <0.1% | 6.5% | |
| 100% | 68.0% | 2.6% | - | 1.8% | |
| - | 99.7% | 5.0% | - | 1.8% | |
| - | - | 9.8% | <0.1% | 1.2% | |
| - | - | 3.1% | - | 0.2% | |
| - | 56.9% | 1.9% | - | <0.1% | |
| - | - | 4.3% | - | <0.1% | |
| - | - | 3.2% | <0.1% | <0.1% | |
| - | - | - | - | - | |
| - | - | - | - | - | |
| - | - | - | - | - | |
| - | - | - | - | - | |
| - | - | - | - | - | |
| - | - | 2.0% | - | - |
Data from 2024-10-20
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 8-0 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 1-7 | 0-8 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.6% | 41.5% | 11.8% | 1.1% | - | - | - | - | - | 7.3 | |
| 46.5% | 39.3% | 12.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | - | - | - | 7.3 | |
| 39.1% | 41.7% | 16.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% | <0.1% | - | - | - | 7.2 | |
| - | 7.3% | 30.1% | 37.9% | 19.9% | 4.5% | 0.4% | - | - | 5.1 | |
| - | - | 11.9% | 52.4% | 29.8% | 5.5% | 0.3% | - | - | 4.7 | |
| 0.1% | 2.0% | 12.4% | 32.9% | 34.8% | 15.4% | 2.4% | - | - | 4.4 | |
| - | 1.2% | 11.0% | 32.0% | 36.2% | 17.0% | 2.6% | - | - | 4.4 | |
| - | - | 5.5% | 31.2% | 49.1% | 14.2% | - | - | - | 4.3 | |
| - | 0.1% | 1.8% | 10.4% | 29.5% | 38.8% | 19.5% | - | - | 3.4 | |
| - | - | 0.3% | 4.9% | 24.0% | 44.9% | 25.9% | - | - | 3.1 | |
| - | - | - | 3.3% | 20.1% | 41.6% | 30.8% | 4.2% | - | 2.9 | |
| - | - | 0.2% | 3.9% | 19.5% | 37.0% | 30.6% | 8.9% | - | 2.8 | |
| - | - | - | 4.6% | 20.9% | 35.0% | 27.8% | 10.3% | 1.4% | 2.8 | |
| - | - | <0.1% | 1.7% | 11.8% | 33.2% | 39.3% | 13.9% | - | 2.5 | |
| - | - | - | - | 6.8% | 44.6% | 37.8% | 10.1% | 0.7% | 2.5 | |
| - | - | - | - | - | 7.3% | 59.9% | 32.8% | - | 1.7 | |
| - | - | - | <0.1% | 1.2% | 11.6% | 42.8% | 44.4% | - | 1.7 |
Data from 2024-10-20