Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W34-13 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W31-30 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L13-27 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W43-24 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W24-14 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | L20-24 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | L31-48 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:49% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:31% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:2% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:15% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:15% |
Data from 2024-10-20
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.3% | 3.2% |
| 5-3 | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| 4-4 | 24.0% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 44.9% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 25.9% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-20
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-20
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.1%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Duke
Pittsburgh
Virginia Tech
Wake ForestVirginia
Oregon State
Florida State
Boston CollegeCCG: 1.7% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
DukeVirginia TechVirginiaCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 11.0%
Data from 2024-10-20
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
3.2%
0.3%Data from 2024-10-20
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-20