ClemsonTigers

6-1 T1st (5-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-10-20 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

60.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsGeorgiaUGA(N)	L3-34
2	9/07	vsApp StateAPP	W66-20
4	9/21	vsNC StateNCSU	W59-35
5	9/28	vsStanfordSTAN	W40-14
6	10/05	@Florida StateFSU	W29-13
7	10/12	@Wake ForestWAKE	W49-14
8	10/19	vsVirginiaUVA	W48-31
10	11/02	vsLouisvilleLOU	Win prob:79%
11	11/09	@Virginia TechVT	Win prob:68%
12	11/16	@PittsburghPITT	Win prob:85%
13	11/23	vsThe CitadelCIT	Win prob:90%
14	11/30	vsSouth CarolinaSC	Win prob:73%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	45.6%	94.5%
7-1	41.5%	40.4%
6-2	11.8%	1.1%
5-3	1.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

63.2%

32.9%

1.6%

1.5%

0.8%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
SMUSMU@DukeDUKE	55.4% (-4.6%)	69.6% (+9.6%)
SyracuseSYR@PittsburghPITT	60.1% (+0.1%)	60.0% (-0.0%)
Georgia TechGT@Virginia TechVT	60.7% (+0.7%)	59.7% (-0.3%)
Wake ForestWAKE@StanfordSTAN	60.5% (+0.5%)	59.2% (-0.8%)
North CarolinaUNC@VirginiaUVA	59.7% (-0.3%)	60.3% (+0.3%)
Oregon StateORST@CaliforniaCAL	59.8% (-0.2%)	60.2% (+0.2%)
Florida StateFSU@MiamiMIA	75.7% (+15.7%)	58.0% (-2.0%)
LouisvilleLOU@Boston CollegeBC	60.4% (+0.4%)	58.7% (-1.3%)

Best Winner Combination for

Duke

Syracuse

Georgia Tech

Virginia

Oregon State

Florida State

Boston College

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Duke

CCG: 69.6% • Scenario: 32.5%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

94.6%

30.0%

Any 1 loss

59.2%

41.6%

94.5%

11.1%

93.8%

3.3%

46.1%

13.8%

41.2%

5.5%

30.2%

7.9%

Any 2 losses

29.3%

22.2%

94.0%

1.2%

47.4%

1.6%

45.3%

5.1%

42.8%

2.1%

38.6%

0.7%

29.8%

2.9%

29.6%

0.9%

1.8%

2.6%

1.0%

1.5%

0.7%

3.8%

Any 3 losses

14.3%

3.4%

47.0%

0.5%

45.2%

0.2%

28.6%

0.4%

2.1%

0.9%

1.4%

0.3%

1.3%

0.5%

1.0%

0.4%

0.7%

0.1%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com