BaylorBears

3-4 T10th (1-3) in B12

Data from 2024-10-20 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsTarleton StateTAR	W45-3
2	9/07	@UtahUTAH	L12-23
3	9/14	vsAir ForceAF	W31-3
4	9/21	@ColoradoCOLO	L31-38
5	9/28	vsBYUBYU	L28-34
6	10/05	@Iowa StateISU	L21-43
8	10/19	@Texas TechTTU	W59-35
9	10/26	vsOklahoma StateOKST	Win prob:65%
10	11/02	vsTCUTCU	Win prob:61%
12	11/16	@West VirginiaWVU	Win prob:43%
13	11/23	@HoustonHOU	Win prob:71%
14	11/30	vsKansasKU	Win prob:46%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-3	5.5%	1.3%
5-4	22.5%	0%
4-5	35.4%	0%
3-6	26.0%	0%
2-7	9.3%	0%
1-8	1.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

66.7%

33.3%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Oklahoma StateOKST@BaylorBAY	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Texas TechTTU@TCUTCU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@ArizonaARIZ	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
KansasKU@Kansas StateKSU	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
UtahUTAH@HoustonHOU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
BYUBYU@UCFUCF	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.1%)
CincinnatiCIN@ColoradoCOLO	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Baylor

TCU

Arizona

Kansas

Houston

UCF

Colorado

CCG: 1.7% • Scenario: 0.2%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Baylor

Kansas

CCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 14.2%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

1.3%

5.5%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com