HoustonCougars

7-2 T4th (4-2) in B12

Data from 2025-11-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsStephen F. AustinSFA	W27-0
2	9/06	@RiceRICE	W35-9
3	9/12	vsColoradoCOLO	W36-20
5	9/26	@Oregon StateORST	W27-24
6	10/04	vsTexas TechTTU	L11-35
7	10/11	@Oklahoma StateOKST	W39-17
8	10/18	vsArizonaARIZ	W31-28
9	10/25	@Arizona StateASU	W24-16
10	11/01	vsWest VirginiaWVU	L35-45
11	11/07	@UCFUCF	Win prob:28%
13	11/22	vsTCUTCU	Win prob:31%
14	11/29	@BaylorBAY	Win prob:37%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-2	3.3%	16.7%
6-3	21.0%	0.0%
5-4	44.5%	0%
4-5	31.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

76.8%

14.3%

5.4%

1.8%

1.8%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
BYUBYU@Texas TechTTU	0.4% (-0.1%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
KansasKU@ArizonaARIZ	0.5% (-0.0%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
Iowa StateISU@TCUTCU	0.6% (+0.0%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@West VirginiaWVU	0.6% (+0.0%)	0.5% (-0.1%)
HoustonHOU@UCFUCF	2.0% (+1.5%)	0.0% (-0.6%)

Best Winner Combination for

Texas Tech

Kansas

Iowa State

West Virginia

Houston

CCG: 2.6% • Scenario: 1.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Houston

CCG: 2.0% • Scenario: 27.9%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

16.7%

3.3%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com