Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8/23 | W31-7 | |
| 1 | 8/29 | W46-7 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L31-42 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | W41-10 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L34-37 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W27-20 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | L17-42 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | L17-42 | |
| 10 | 11/01 | W38-21 | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:55% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:37% | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:18% |
Data from 2025-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| 5-4 | 26.1% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 47.1% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 23.2% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 2.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 6.9%
Data from 2025-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-02