Nevada

NevadaWolf Pack

0-1 T1st (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

NevadaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
@Penn StPSU
L11-46
29/06
vsSacramento StateSAC
Win prob:90%
39/13
vsMTSUMTSU
Win prob:65%
49/20
@WKUWKU
Win prob:22%
610/04
@Fresno StFRES
Win prob:16%
710/11
vsSan Diego StSDSU
Win prob:53%
810/18
@New MexicoUNM
Win prob:36%
910/24
vsBoise StBOIS
Win prob:20%
1111/08
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:25%
1211/15
vsSan Jose StSJSU
Win prob:32%
1311/22
@WyomingWYO
Win prob:30%
1411/29
vsUNLVUNLV
Win prob:16%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.1%
98.7%
6-2
0.6%
75.4%
5-3
3.3%
10.1%
4-4
11.7%
0.0%
3-5
25.1%
0%
2-6
31.6%
0%
1-7
21.6%
0%
0-8
6.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Nevada CCG Opponents

if Nevada makes the CCG

UNLVUNLV
42.3%
Boise StateBoise St
29.5%
Fresno StateFresno St
16.7%
San José StateSan Jose St
7.7%
Utah StateUtah St
3.8%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaThis Week's Impact

Game
NevadaCCG OddsAway
NevadaCCG OddsHome
Fresno StFRES@Oregon StORST
0.9%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
Northern IowaUNI@WyomingWYO
0.9%
(+0.0%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
Sam Houston StSHSU@HawaiiHAW
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
San Jose StSJSU@TexasTEX
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
Utah StUSU@Texas A&MTA&M
0.9%
(+0.1%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
Northern ColoradoUNCO@Colorado StCSU
1.0%
(+0.1%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
Idaho StateIDST@New MexicoUNM
0.8%
(-0.1%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
Eastern WashingtonEWU@Boise StBOIS
0.8%
(-0.1%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
San Diego StSDSU@Washington StWSU
0.8%
(-0.1%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
UCLAUCLA@UNLVUNLV
0.9%
(+0.1%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
Sacramento StateSAC@NevadaNEV
0.8%
(-0.1%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Nevada CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
UNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise St
100.0%
<0.1%
Wyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
WKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno St
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
87.9%
<0.1%
WKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSacramento State
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNew Mexico
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew Mexico
100.0%
<0.1%
UNLVWKU
83.3%
<0.1%
Boise StUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
UNLVUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
San Jose StUNLV
66.7%
<0.1%
Boise StWyoming
60.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUNLV
60.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
UNLVWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
49.4%
0.6%
San Jose StUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StWKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUUNLVWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah StWKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew MexicoUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUUNLVWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StWKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Sacramento StateWKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Jose StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUUNLVUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew MexicoWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Sacramento StateUNLVWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Sacramento StateUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSacramento StateWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Jose StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUNew Mexico
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew MexicoWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSan Jose StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSan Jose StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSacramento StateSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSacramento StateWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoSacramento State
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew MexicoUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSan Diego StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUWKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StWKUWyoming
95.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUtah StWKU
85.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StWKU
85.7%
<0.1%
New MexicoWKUWyoming
83.3%
<0.1%
Boise StWKUWyoming
83.3%
<0.1%
New MexicoUNLVWKU
80.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Jose StWKU
80.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUNLVWKU
80.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StWKU
75.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah StWKU
73.3%
<0.1%
UNLVWKUWyoming
70.0%
<0.1%
UNLVUtah StWKU
67.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StUNLVWKU
63.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUNLVWyoming
60.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StUNLVWKU
60.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUNLVWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StSan Jose StWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StUtah StWyoming
40.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUtah StWyoming
40.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
New MexicoUNLVWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUUNLV
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StUtah StWyoming
30.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StUtah St
25.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StSan Diego St
25.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StWyoming
22.2%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Jose StWyoming
20.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoSan Jose St
16.7%
<0.1%
San Jose StUNLVWyoming
16.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StWyoming
14.3%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Jose StUtah St
14.3%
<0.1%
UNLVUtah StWyoming
13.3%
<0.1%
San Diego StSan Jose StUNLV
12.5%
<0.1%
New MexicoUNLVUtah St
12.5%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah StWyoming
12.5%
<0.1%
Boise StUNLVWyoming
12.5%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUNLV
10.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Jose StUNLV
10.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUNLVUtah St
10.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Jose StUtah St
10.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StSan Jose St
10.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUNLVWyoming
9.1%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoUtah St
9.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StUNLVUtah St
7.4%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com