Middle TennesseeBlue Raiders

0-1 T2nd (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsAustin PeayAPSU	L14-34
2	9/06	@WisconsinWIS	Win prob:9%
3	9/13	@NevadaNEV	Win prob:35%
4	9/20	vsMarshallMRSH	Win prob:20%
5	9/27	@Kennesaw StateKENN	Win prob:37%
7	10/08	vsMissouri StateMOST	Win prob:43%
9	10/22	@DelawareDEL	Win prob:13%
10	10/29	vsJacksonville StateJXST	Win prob:12%
11	11/08	vsFlorida InternationalFIU	Win prob:37%
12	11/15	@Western KentuckyWKU	Win prob:17%
13	11/22	vsSam HoustonSHSU	Win prob:34%
14	11/29	@New Mexico StateNMSU	Win prob:40%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	100.0%
7-1	0.1%	96.5%
6-2	0.7%	60.0%
5-3	3.6%	6.2%
4-4	12.5%	0%
3-5	25.6%	0%
2-6	31.3%	0%
1-7	20.7%	0%
0-8	5.6%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

54.7%

17.2%

14.1%

7.8%

6.3%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Kennesaw StateKENN@IndianaIU	0.4% (-0.3%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
Florida InternationalFIU@Penn StatePSU	0.4% (-0.3%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
Sam HoustonSHSU@Hawai'iHAW	0.7% (-0.0%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@LSULSU	0.5% (-0.2%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
TulsaTLSA@New Mexico StateNMSU	0.6% (-0.1%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
DelawareDEL@ColoradoCOLO	0.8% (+0.1%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
Missouri StateMOST@MarshallMRSH	0.8% (+0.1%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
UT MartinUTM@UTEPUTEP	0.7% (+0.1%)	0.7% (-0.0%)
Western KentuckyWKU@ToledoTOL	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.7% (-0.0%)
LibertyLIB@Jacksonville StateJXST	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.7% (-0.0%)
Middle TennesseeMTSU@WisconsinWIS	0.8% (+0.1%)	0.7% (-0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 2 losses

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

71.1%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com