Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
OhioOHIO	100%	96.8%	47.7%	1.2%	72.9%
ToledoTOL	100%	83.9%	21.8%	0.1%	39.6%
Bowling GreenBGSU	100%	91.2%	22.9%	0.3%	25.2%
Northern IllinoisNIU	100%	88.1%	20.7%	0.2%	20.6%
BuffaloBUF	100%	84.2%	18.9%	0.2%	20.1%
Miami (OH)M-OH	100%	97.7%	41.4%	0.9%	15.1%
Western MichiganWMU	100%	95.2%	33.9%	0.5%	3.8%
Central MichiganCMU	100%	78.8%	15.4%	0.1%	1.5%
Eastern MichiganEMU	100%	96.2%	46.3%	1.7%	1.0%
MassachusettsMASS	100%	96.5%	28.9%	0.7%	0.1%
AkronAKR	-	100%	22.9%	0.2%	<0.1%
Ball StateBALL	-	100%	33.3%	0.5%	<0.1%
Kent StateKENT	-	-	20.0%	-	-

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
OhioOHIO(0-0)	23.4%	38.2%	26.1%	9.8%	2.3%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.7
ToledoTOL(0-0)	8.8%	27.7%	34.3%	21.1%	6.8%	1.2%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.1
Bowling GreenBGSU(0-0)	2.5%	16.5%	32.9%	30.2%	14.1%	3.4%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.5
BuffaloBUF(1-0)	2.4%	14.0%	31.1%	31.6%	16.1%	4.2%	0.5%	<0.1%	-	5.4
Northern IllinoisNIU(0-0)	1.9%	13.8%	31.7%	32.1%	15.9%	4.0%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.4
Miami (OH)M-OH(0-0)	0.7%	6.0%	20.0%	31.9%	26.9%	11.6%	2.6%	0.3%	0.0%	4.7
Western MichiganWMU(0-0)	<0.1%	1.3%	7.0%	20.1%	31.3%	26.3%	11.3%	2.4%	0.2%	3.8
Central MichiganCMU(0-0)	<0.1%	0.8%	5.1%	16.7%	29.8%	28.8%	14.7%	3.8%	0.4%	3.6
Eastern MichiganEMU(0-0)	<0.1%	0.2%	1.5%	6.9%	18.5%	29.8%	27.4%	13.0%	2.6%	2.8
AkronAKR(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	2.6%	12.2%	29.1%	33.9%	18.4%	3.3%	2.4
MassachusettsMASS(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	2.4%	10.5%	25.7%	33.7%	22.1%	5.3%	2.2
Ball StateBALL(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	1.4%	8.6%	26.9%	38.2%	21.3%	3.5%	2.2
Kent StateKENT(0-1)	-	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	8.2%	26.2%	40.0%	24.3%	1.2

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com