ULM

UL MonroeWarhawks

3-3 T5th (1-1) in SBC

Data from 2025-10-12 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

ULMSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/28
vsSt. Francis (PA)SFPA
W29-0
29/06
@AlabamaALA
L0-73
49/20
@UTEPUTEP
W31-25
59/27
vsArkansas StARST
W28-16
610/04
@NorthwesternNU
L7-42
710/11
@Coastal CarCCU
L8-23
810/18
vsTroyTROY
Win prob:16%
910/25
@Southern MissUSM
Win prob:22%
1011/01
vsOld DominionODU
Win prob:6%
1211/15
vsSouth AlabamaUSA
Win prob:18%
1311/22
@Texas StTXST
Win prob:4%
1411/29
@LouisianaUL
Win prob:14%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-1
0%
0%
6-2
0.0%
85.7%
5-3
0.3%
55.3%
4-4
2.8%
10.4%
3-5
15.1%
0.0%
2-6
40.3%
0%
1-7
41.5%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely ULM CCG Opponents

if ULM makes the CCG

James MadisonJames Madison
47.8%
MarshallMarshall
32.6%
Old DominionOld Dominion
17.4%
App StateAppalachian St
2.2%
Georgia SouthernGa Southern
0.0%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMThis Week's Impact

Game
ULMCCG OddsAway
ULMCCG OddsHome
Coastal CarCCU@Appalachian StAPP
0.4%
(-0.1%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
TroyTROY@ULMULM
0.0%
(-0.4%)		2.9%
(+2.4%)
Southern MissUSM@LouisianaUL
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
Georgia StGAST@Ga SouthernGASO
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@South AlabamaUSA
0.5%
(+0.1%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
Old DominionODU@James MadisonJMU
0.5%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
Texas StTXST@MarshallMRSH
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for ULM

Coastal CarCoastal CarolinaULMUL MonroeSouthern MissSouthern MissGeorgia StGeorgia StateArkansas StArkansas StateOld DominionOld DominionTexas StTexas State

CCG: 25.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for ULM

ULMUL Monroe

CCG: 2.9% • Scenario: 15.8%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
ULM CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
100.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com