NorthwesternWildcats

4-2 T4th (2-1) in B1G

Data from 2025-10-12 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	@TulaneTULN	L3-23
2	9/05	vsWestern IllinoisWIU	W42-7
3	9/13	vsOregonORE	L14-34
5	9/27	vsUCLAUCLA	W17-14
6	10/04	vsUL MonroeULM	W42-7
7	10/11	@Penn StatePSU	W22-21
8	10/18	vsPurduePUR	Win prob:78%
9	10/25	@NebraskaNEB	Win prob:17%
11	11/07	@USCUSC	Win prob:7%
12	11/15	vsMichiganMICH(N)	Win prob:10%
13	11/22	vsMinnesotaMINN(N)	Win prob:42%
14	11/29	@IllinoisILL	Win prob:28%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-1	0.0%	33.3%
7-2	0.4%	7.6%
6-3	3.8%	0%
5-4	18.3%	0%
4-5	38.9%	0%
3-6	32.3%	0%
2-7	6.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

Oregon

33.3%

Indiana

33.3%

Ohio State

33.3%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Penn StatePSU@IowaIOWA	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
Ohio StateOSU@WisconsinWIS	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
MarylandMD@UCLAUCLA	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Michigan StateMSU@IndianaIU	0.1% (+0.1%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
OregonORE@RutgersRUTG	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
USCUSC@Notre DameND	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
NebraskaNEB@MinnesotaMINN	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
WashingtonWASH@MichiganMICH	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
PurduePUR@NorthwesternNU	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Iowa

UCLA

Michigan State

Rutgers

Minnesota

Michigan

Northwestern

CCG: 14.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Notre Dame

Nebraska

Michigan

Northwestern

CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 36.8%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

33.3%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

7.7%

0.4%

17.2%

<0.1%

7.3%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

6.3%

<0.1%

4.8%

0.1%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com