Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L17-41 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W45-7 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L20-33 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W45-28 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W24-13 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | L17-23 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W48-20 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:8% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:6% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:28% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:22% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:61% |
Data from 2024-10-27
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.0% | 85.7% |
| 5-3 | 0.9% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 10.4% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 39.8% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 48.9% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-27
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-27
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.3% (+0.3%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Massachusetts
South Carolina
TennesseeFlorida
Oklahoma
Ole Miss
VanderbiltCCG: 1.9% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
TennesseeFloridaCCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 7.5%
Data from 2024-10-27
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
90.0%
<0.1%
75.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-10-27
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-27