Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.3%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W76-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W52-3 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W40-6 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W52-13 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L17-20 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W27-3 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | L26-29 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W26-14 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:84% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:37% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:78% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:98% |
Data from 2024-10-27
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 23.9% | 1.1% |
| 5-3 | 52.0% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 21.4% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 2.7% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 0.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-27
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-27
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3% (-0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (-0.1%) | 0.4% (+0.1%) | |
| 1.0% (+0.7%) | 0.2% (-0.1%) | |
| 1.6% (+1.3%) | 0.2% (-0.1%) | |
| 0.2% (-0.1%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.3% (+0.1%) | 0.0% (-0.3%) | |
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Mississippi State
Texas A&M
Kentucky
Florida
MaineOle Miss
AuburnCCG: 9.1% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
FloridaOle MissCCG: 1.9% • Scenario: 6.6%
Data from 2024-10-27
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
1.1%
23.9%Data from 2024-10-27
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-27