VanderbiltCommodores

6-3 T6th (3-2) in SEC

Data from 2024-11-03 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsVirginia TechVT	W34-27
2	9/07	vsAlcorn StateALCN	W55-0
3	9/14	@Georgia StateGAST	L32-36
4	9/21	@MissouriMIZ	L27-30
6	10/05	vsAlabamaALA	W40-35
7	10/12	@KentuckyUK	W20-13
8	10/19	vsBall StateBALL	W24-14
9	10/26	vsTexasTEX	L24-27
10	11/02	@AuburnAUB	W17-7
11	11/09	vsSouth CarolinaSC	Win prob:16%
13	11/23	@LSULSU	Win prob:7%
14	11/30	vsTennesseeTENN	Win prob:8%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-2	0.1%	55.7%
5-3	2.6%	0%
4-4	25.0%	0%
3-5	72.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
AlabamaALA@LSULSU	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Mississippi StateMSST@TennesseeTENN	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
OklahomaOU@MissouriMIZ	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
FloridaFLA@TexasTEX	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
GeorgiaUGA@Ole MissMISS	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
South CarolinaSC@VanderbiltVAN	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.3% (+0.3%)

Best Winner Combination for

Alabama

Mississippi State

Missouri

Texas

Ole Miss

Vanderbilt

CCG: 1.7% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Vanderbilt

CCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 15.6%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

55.7%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com