Ohio

OhioBobcats

0-1 T1st (0-0) in MAC

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

28.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

OhioSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
@SyracuseSYR
L22-38
29/07
vsSouth AlabamaUSA
Win prob:40%
39/14
vsMorgan StateMORG
Win prob:90%
49/21
@KentuckyUK
Win prob:21%
59/28
vsAkronAKR
Win prob:89%
710/12
@C MichiganCMU
Win prob:61%
810/19
@Miami OHM-OH
Win prob:39%
910/26
vsBuffaloBUF
Win prob:72%
1111/06
@KentKENT
Win prob:85%
1211/13
vsE MichiganEMU
Win prob:78%
1311/20
@ToledoTOL
Win prob:34%
1411/29
vsBall StBALL
Win prob:50%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

OhioRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
1.8%
100.0%
7-1
10.6%
97.7%
6-2
25.6%
58.0%
5-3
31.0%
4.5%
4-4
21.1%
0%
3-5
8.0%
0%
2-6
1.7%
0%
1-7
0.2%
0%
0-8
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Ohio CCG Opponents

if Ohio makes the CCG

ToledoToledo
37.7%
Miami (OH)Miami OH
20.4%
Northern IllinoisN Illinois
17.4%
Bowling GreenBowling Green
17.2%
Ball StateBall St
7.3%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

OhioThis Week's Impact

Game
OhioCCG OddsAway
OhioCCG OddsHome
BuffaloBUF@MissouriMIZ
28.2%
(-0.2%)		28.4%
(+0.0%)
E MichiganEMU@WashingtonWASH
27.6%
(-0.8%)		28.4%
(+0.1%)
C MichiganCMU@Florida IntlFIU
28.6%
(+0.2%)		27.9%
(-0.5%)
South AlabamaUSA@OhioOHIO
28.4%
(-0.0%)		28.4%
(+0.0%)
St. Francis (PA)SFPA@KentKENT
29.5%
(+1.1%)		28.3%
(-0.1%)
MassachusettsMASS@ToledoTOL
29.0%
(+0.6%)		28.4%
(-0.1%)
AkronAKR@RutgersRUTG
28.6%
(+0.2%)		28.4%
(-0.0%)
Missouri StMOST@Ball StBALL
28.6%
(+0.2%)		28.4%
(-0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Penn StPSU
28.1%
(-0.4%)		28.4%
(+0.0%)
N IllinoisNIU@Notre DameND
28.6%
(+0.2%)		28.4%
(-0.0%)
W MichiganWMU@Ohio StOSU
31.7%
(+3.3%)		28.3%
(-0.1%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

OhioLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Ohio CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.1%
Any 1 loss
98.7%
1.6%
South Alabama
100.0%
0.2%
Kentucky
100.0%
0.5%
Buffalo
100.0%
<0.1%
Kent
100.0%
<0.1%
Morgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
E Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
C Michigan
99.0%
0.1%
Ball St
98.6%
0.1%
Miami OH
97.9%
0.2%
Toledo
95.5%
0.3%
Akron
94.7%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
87.2%
7.1%
KentuckySouth Alabama
100.0%
0.8%
KentSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganSouth Alabama
100.0%
0.1%
AkronSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
Morgan StateSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronBuffalo
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganKent
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
KentMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganKentucky
99.2%
0.1%
C MichiganKentucky
99.1%
0.3%
BuffaloSouth Alabama
98.6%
<0.1%
AkronKentucky
98.6%
<0.1%
BuffaloKentucky
98.4%
0.2%
Ball StSouth Alabama
98.3%
0.2%
E MichiganSouth Alabama
98.1%
<0.1%
Ball StKentucky
98.1%
0.5%
KentuckyMiami OH
97.8%
0.8%
KentKentucky
97.7%
<0.1%
South AlabamaToledo
97.3%
0.4%
Miami OHSouth Alabama
97.0%
0.3%
KentuckyToledo
96.0%
0.9%
Morgan StateToledo
94.6%
<0.1%
Ball StKent
91.3%
<0.1%
AkronC Michigan
87.5%
<0.1%
C MichiganE Michigan
87.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganKent
81.8%
<0.1%
Ball StE Michigan
79.4%
<0.1%
AkronMiami OH
79.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami OH
78.9%
<0.1%
Ball StC Michigan
77.8%
<0.1%
KentToledo
76.6%
<0.1%
BuffaloC Michigan
75.9%
<0.1%
AkronE Michigan
75.0%
<0.1%
AkronBall St
69.2%
<0.1%
KentMiami OH
69.2%
<0.1%
BuffaloKent
66.7%
<0.1%
AkronToledo
65.5%
<0.1%
C MichiganMiami OH
62.2%
0.1%
E MichiganMiami OH
61.7%
<0.1%
BuffaloE Michigan
61.1%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffalo
60.8%
<0.1%
E MichiganToledo
60.6%
<0.1%
BuffaloToledo
57.9%
0.1%
Ball StToledo
56.5%
0.2%
Ball StMiami OH
56.0%
0.2%
C MichiganToledo
54.6%
0.2%
Miami OHToledo
45.0%
0.5%
Any 3 losses
62.2%
17.7%
AkronKentuckySouth Alabama
100.0%
0.1%
KentuckyMorgan StateSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronKentuckyMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloKentuckyMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMorgan StateSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMorgan StateSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganKentSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
KentMorgan StateSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StKentMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
KentKentuckyMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganKentMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMorgan StateSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentuckySouth Alabama
99.5%
0.4%
E MichiganKentuckySouth Alabama
99.1%
0.2%
KentuckyMorgan StateToledo
98.9%
<0.1%
Ball StKentuckySouth Alabama
98.8%
0.8%
KentKentuckySouth Alabama
98.6%
0.1%
Ball StKentuckyMorgan State
98.2%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami OHSouth Alabama
97.9%
1.1%
BuffaloKentuckySouth Alabama
97.8%
0.3%
Miami OHMorgan StateSouth Alabama
97.6%
<0.1%
KentuckySouth AlabamaToledo
96.5%
1.4%
KentuckyMiami OHMorgan State
95.4%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentuckyMorgan State
94.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganKentuckyMorgan State
93.8%
<0.1%
Morgan StateSouth AlabamaToledo
92.5%
<0.1%
Ball StMorgan StateSouth Alabama
91.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloKentKentucky
88.9%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganSouth Alabama
86.4%
<0.1%
BuffaloKentSouth Alabama
85.7%
<0.1%
AkronE MichiganSouth Alabama
85.7%
<0.1%
BuffaloMorgan StateSouth Alabama
85.7%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentKentucky
85.4%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentSouth Alabama
85.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganKentKentucky
84.6%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganKentucky
80.5%
<0.1%
Ball StC MichiganMorgan State
80.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloC MichiganSouth Alabama
78.3%
<0.1%
AkronE MichiganKentucky
77.8%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganSouth Alabama
77.4%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganSouth Alabama
77.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganKentucky
76.7%
<0.1%
AkronBall StKentucky
76.4%
<0.1%
Ball StKentKentucky
76.1%
<0.1%
AkronBall StSouth Alabama
76.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganE MichiganKentucky
75.3%
0.1%
AkronKentSouth Alabama
75.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentMorgan State
75.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloC MichiganMorgan State
75.0%
<0.1%
AkronMorgan StateToledo
75.0%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganKentucky
74.8%
0.1%
BuffaloC MichiganKentucky
73.5%
0.1%
C MichiganE MichiganSouth Alabama
73.2%
<0.1%
AkronKentuckyMiami OH
73.0%
0.1%
KentKentuckyToledo
72.8%
0.2%
AkronKentKentucky
72.7%
<0.1%
Ball StKentSouth Alabama
72.5%
<0.1%
Ball StC MichiganSouth Alabama
72.0%
0.1%
KentMiami OHSouth Alabama
71.4%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHSouth Alabama
70.2%
<0.1%
E MichiganKentuckyMiami OH
69.4%
0.2%
BuffaloMiami OHMorgan State
69.2%
<0.1%
Ball StC MichiganKentucky
68.0%
0.3%
KentSouth AlabamaToledo
66.7%
<0.1%
KentKentuckyMiami OH
66.7%
0.1%
E MichiganSouth AlabamaToledo
66.7%
0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHMorgan State
66.7%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloMorgan State
66.7%
<0.1%
C MichiganE MichiganMorgan State
66.7%
<0.1%
AkronKentuckyToledo
64.6%
0.1%
AkronMiami OHSouth Alabama
63.9%
<0.1%
AkronSouth AlabamaToledo
63.8%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloKentucky
63.8%
0.2%
E MichiganKentuckyToledo
63.6%
0.3%
Ball StBuffaloSouth Alabama
63.2%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloKentucky
63.2%
<0.1%
C MichiganMiami OHSouth Alabama
62.2%
0.2%
C MichiganKentuckyMiami OH
61.7%
0.5%
BuffaloKentuckyMiami OH
60.8%
0.3%
BuffaloMiami OHSouth Alabama
56.6%
0.1%
Ball StKentuckyMiami OH
56.2%
0.8%
C MichiganKentuckyToledo
55.7%
0.6%
BuffaloSouth AlabamaToledo
55.7%
0.2%
Ball StMiami OHSouth Alabama
55.5%
0.4%
C MichiganSouth AlabamaToledo
54.5%
0.2%
Ball StSouth AlabamaToledo
54.4%
0.4%
BuffaloKentuckyToledo
54.3%
0.4%
Ball StKentuckyToledo
52.8%
1.0%
AkronBuffaloKent
50.0%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami OHMorgan State
44.4%
<0.1%
Miami OHSouth AlabamaToledo
43.4%
0.6%
KentuckyMiami OHToledo
42.0%
1.4%
Miami OHMorgan StateToledo
40.5%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloSouth Alabama
40.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMorgan StateToledo
37.5%
<0.1%
BuffaloMorgan StateToledo
36.4%
<0.1%
E MichiganMorgan StateToledo
33.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganMiami OHMorgan State
33.3%
<0.1%
KentMorgan StateToledo
33.3%
<0.1%
Ball StMorgan StateToledo
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronMiami OHMorgan State
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronBall StKent
25.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganE MichiganKent
25.0%
<0.1%
AkronE MichiganToledo
16.7%
<0.1%
BuffaloKentToledo
13.3%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloE Michigan
13.3%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganMiami OH
13.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloC Michigan
12.1%
<0.1%
BuffaloKentMiami OH
11.8%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganKent
11.1%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloToledo
11.1%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloKent
11.1%
<0.1%
Ball StC MichiganE Michigan
10.5%
<0.1%
BuffaloC MichiganToledo
9.2%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentToledo
8.1%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganToledo
8.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganKentToledo
7.7%
<0.1%
Ball StKentToledo
7.1%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganMiami OH
6.9%
<0.1%
AkronBall StToledo
6.7%
<0.1%
E MichiganKentMiami OH
6.7%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganToledo
6.5%
<0.1%
AkronBall StC Michigan
5.6%
<0.1%
AkronMiami OHToledo
5.0%
<0.1%
Ball StKentMiami OH
5.0%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganMiami OH
4.9%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganToledo
4.8%
<0.1%
KentMiami OHToledo
3.8%
<0.1%
Ball StC MichiganMiami OH
3.5%
0.1%
BuffaloC MichiganMiami OH
3.5%
<0.1%
C MichiganE MichiganMiami OH
3.2%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami OHToledo
2.9%
0.1%
Ball StBuffaloMiami OH
2.7%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHToledo
2.6%
0.1%
Ball StBuffaloToledo
1.8%
0.1%
C MichiganE MichiganToledo
1.8%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami OHToledo
1.7%
0.4%
Ball StC MichiganToledo
1.3%
0.1%
C MichiganMiami OHToledo
1.2%
0.3%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

OhioCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com