RutgersScarlet Knights

1-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/29	vsHowardHOW	W44-7
2	9/07	vsAkronAKR	Win prob:88%
4	9/21	@Virginia TechVT	Win prob:27%
5	9/27	vsWashingtonWASH	Win prob:20%
6	10/05	@NebraskaNEB	Win prob:28%
7	10/12	vsWisconsinWIS	Win prob:39%
8	10/19	vsUCLAUCLA	Win prob:45%
9	10/25	@USCUSC	Win prob:18%
11	11/09	vsMinnesotaMINN	Win prob:53%
12	11/16	@MarylandMD	Win prob:15%
13	11/23	vsIllinoisILL	Win prob:52%
14	11/30	@Michigan StateMSU	Win prob:51%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0.0%	90.9%
8-1	0.1%	55.4%
7-2	0.8%	7.2%
6-3	4.0%	0.0%
5-4	12.2%	0%
4-5	23.5%	0%
3-6	28.4%	0%
2-7	21.0%	0%
1-8	8.6%	0%
0-9	1.5%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

41.7%

25.0%

16.7%

16.7%

0.0%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
ColoradoCOLO@NebraskaNEB	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
TexasTEX@MichiganMICH	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Iowa StateISU@IowaIOWA	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
Eastern MichiganEMU@WashingtonWASH	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
South DakotaSDAK@WisconsinWIS	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Utah StateUSU@USCUSC	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Michigan StateMSU@MarylandMD	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
KansasKU@IllinoisILL	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
DukeDUKE@NorthwesternNU	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
AkronAKR@RutgersRUTG	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Penn StatePSU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Western IllinoisWIU@IndianaIU	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
Western MichiganWMU@Ohio StateOSU	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Rhode IslandURI@MinnesotaMINN	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Boise StateBOIS@OregonORE	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

72.9%

<0.1%

85.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

35.5%

0.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

62.5%

<0.1%

62.5%

<0.1%

62.5%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

54.5%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

37.5%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

5.0%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

8.6%

0.4%

100.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

6.3%

<0.1%

5.7%

<0.1%

4.8%

<0.1%

3.4%

<0.1%

1.8%

<0.1%

Any 4 losses

10.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com