Washington

WashingtonHuskies

1-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

7.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

WashingtonSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsWeber StateWEB
W35-3
29/07
vsE MichiganEMU
Win prob:95%
39/14
vsWashington StWSU(N)
Win prob:78%
49/21
vsNorthwesternNU
Win prob:84%
59/27
@RutgersRUTG
Win prob:80%
610/05
vsMichiganMICH
Win prob:27%
710/12
@IowaIOWA
Win prob:70%
910/26
@IndianaIU
Win prob:82%
1011/02
vsUSCUSC
Win prob:69%
1111/09
@Penn StPSU
Win prob:28%
1211/15
vsUCLAUCLA
Win prob:81%
1411/30
@OregonORE
Win prob:23%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

WashingtonRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.4%
100.0%
8-1
3.9%
90.8%
7-2
15.6%
23.2%
6-3
29.8%
0.4%
5-4
28.6%
0%
4-5
15.8%
0%
3-6
5.0%
0%
2-7
0.9%
0%
1-8
0.1%
0%
0-9
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Washington CCG Opponents

if Washington makes the CCG

MichiganMichigan
33.2%
Ohio StateOhio St
24.0%
OregonOregon
22.1%
Penn StatePenn St
18.0%
MarylandMaryland
2.7%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

WashingtonThis Week's Impact

Game
WashingtonCCG OddsAway
WashingtonCCG OddsHome
ColoradoCOLO@NebraskaNEB
7.4%
(-0.2%)		7.6%
(+0.0%)
TexasTEX@MichiganMICH
7.5%
(-0.1%)		7.7%
(+0.1%)
Iowa StISU@IowaIOWA
7.6%
(-0.1%)		7.7%
(+0.1%)
E MichiganEMU@WashingtonWASH
7.6%
(-0.0%)		7.6%
(+0.0%)
South DakotaSDAK@WisconsinWIS
7.2%
(-0.4%)		7.7%
(+0.1%)
Utah StUSU@USCUSC
7.4%
(-0.3%)		7.6%
(+0.0%)
Michigan StMSU@MarylandMD
8.2%
(+0.5%)		7.5%
(-0.1%)
KansasKU@IllinoisILL
7.7%
(+0.0%)		7.6%
(-0.1%)
DukeDUKE@NorthwesternNU
7.6%
(+0.0%)		7.6%
(+0.0%)
AkronAKR@RutgersRUTG
7.7%
(+0.1%)		7.6%
(-0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Penn StPSU
7.1%
(-0.5%)		7.6%
(+0.0%)
Western IllinoisWIU@IndianaIU
7.7%
(+0.1%)		7.6%
(-0.0%)
W MichiganWMU@Ohio StOSU
7.7%
(+0.1%)		7.6%
(+0.0%)
Rhode IslandURI@MinnesotaMINN
7.3%
(-0.4%)		7.7%
(+0.0%)
Boise StBOIS@OregonORE
7.7%
(+0.1%)		7.6%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

WashingtonLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Washington CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.3%
Any 1 loss
91.0%
3.0%
Washington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
UCLA
98.5%
<0.1%
USC
96.9%
0.1%
Iowa
95.7%
0.1%
Rutgers
95.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern
93.9%
<0.1%
Penn St
92.0%
0.7%
Michigan
90.2%
0.8%
Indiana
90.2%
<0.1%
Oregon
87.5%
0.9%
Any 2 losses
28.5%
12.6%
E MichiganRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
UCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
USCWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganUSC
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIndiana
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternWashington St
94.1%
<0.1%
IndianaWashington St
94.1%
<0.1%
IndianaRutgers
93.8%
<0.1%
Penn StWashington St
93.0%
0.2%
E MichiganPenn St
91.8%
<0.1%
OregonWashington St
90.7%
0.2%
MichiganWashington St
88.5%
0.2%
E MichiganNorthwestern
85.7%
<0.1%
E MichiganOregon
84.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichigan
80.5%
<0.1%
RutgersUCLA
80.0%
<0.1%
IndianaUCLA
68.4%
<0.1%
IowaUSC
68.1%
<0.1%
IndianaNorthwestern
66.7%
<0.1%
NorthwesternRutgers
66.7%
<0.1%
RutgersUSC
64.7%
<0.1%
NorthwesternUSC
61.5%
<0.1%
IowaRutgers
61.5%
<0.1%
IowaNorthwestern
61.5%
<0.1%
IndianaIowa
59.1%
<0.1%
IowaUCLA
57.7%
<0.1%
NorthwesternUCLA
52.9%
<0.1%
UCLAUSC
44.0%
<0.1%
IndianaUSC
43.8%
<0.1%
Penn StRutgers
42.3%
0.2%
OregonRutgers
39.9%
0.3%
NorthwesternOregon
39.3%
0.2%
NorthwesternPenn St
38.1%
0.1%
MichiganUCLA
37.6%
0.2%
IndianaPenn St
37.1%
0.2%
OregonUCLA
36.9%
0.2%
IowaPenn St
35.4%
0.3%
IndianaMichigan
35.3%
0.2%
OregonUSC
34.9%
0.4%
MichiganNorthwestern
34.8%
0.2%
Penn StUCLA
34.8%
0.2%
MichiganRutgers
34.7%
0.2%
IndianaOregon
32.6%
0.2%
IowaMichigan
31.8%
0.3%
Penn StUSC
30.2%
0.3%
MichiganUSC
29.6%
0.3%
IowaOregon
29.6%
0.4%
OregonPenn St
15.9%
2.3%
MichiganPenn St
14.6%
2.0%
MichiganOregon
12.0%
2.5%
Any 3 losses
12.8%
7.3%
IndianaRutgersWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowaUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganNorthwesternUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganNorthwesternUSC
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIndianaUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIndianaRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIndianaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganRutgersWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganPenn StWashington St
88.9%
<0.1%
E MichiganOregonWashington St
84.6%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichiganWashington St
83.3%
<0.1%
IowaNorthwesternWashington St
83.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganIndianaIowa
75.0%
<0.1%
RutgersUSCWashington St
75.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternUSCWashington St
71.4%
<0.1%
IowaRutgersWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
UCLAUSCWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
IndianaNorthwesternWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
IowaUSCWashington St
60.0%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaWashington St
60.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternRutgersWashington St
60.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIndianaPenn St
60.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganPenn StRutgers
55.6%
<0.1%
Penn StUCLAWashington St
53.8%
<0.1%
E MichiganIndianaMichigan
50.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichiganRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
IndianaUSCWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowaUSC
50.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIndianaUSC
50.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternPenn StWashington St
46.4%
<0.1%
MichiganRutgersWashington St
46.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganPenn StUCLA
46.2%
<0.1%
Penn StRutgersWashington St
44.7%
<0.1%
RutgersUCLAWashington St
42.9%
<0.1%
IndianaOregonWashington St
41.8%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowaPenn St
41.7%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichiganUCLA
41.7%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn StWashington St
40.9%
<0.1%
MichiganNorthwesternWashington St
40.9%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowaOregon
40.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichiganNorthwestern
40.0%
<0.1%
IowaPenn StWashington St
39.2%
<0.1%
IndianaMichiganWashington St
37.5%
<0.1%
MichiganUCLAWashington St
34.2%
<0.1%
OregonUCLAWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganOregonUSC
33.3%
<0.1%
IowaUCLAWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaUCLAUSC
33.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganPenn StUSC
31.6%
<0.1%
Penn StUSCWashington St
31.4%
<0.1%
E MichiganOregonRutgers
30.8%
<0.1%
IowaMichiganWashington St
30.4%
0.1%
OregonUSCWashington St
30.2%
0.1%
E MichiganNorthwesternPenn St
28.6%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowaMichigan
28.6%
<0.1%
MichiganUSCWashington St
28.0%
<0.1%
OregonRutgersWashington St
27.9%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichiganUSC
27.8%
<0.1%
IowaOregonWashington St
26.1%
0.1%
NorthwesternOregonWashington St
23.7%
<0.1%
IndianaRutgersUSC
20.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichiganOregon
19.7%
0.1%
E MichiganOregonPenn St
16.3%
0.1%
E MichiganMichiganPenn St
14.7%
0.1%
E MichiganNorthwesternOregon
14.3%
<0.1%
IowaNorthwesternUCLA
14.3%
<0.1%
IowaRutgersUCLA
14.3%
<0.1%
OregonPenn StWashington St
14.2%
0.6%
MichiganPenn StWashington St
13.8%
0.6%
E MichiganIndianaOregon
12.5%
<0.1%
MichiganOregonWashington St
11.2%
0.7%
E MichiganOregonUCLA
11.1%
<0.1%
IowaNorthwesternUSC
7.1%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn StUSC
6.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRutgersUCLA
4.7%
<0.1%
IndianaMichiganUCLA
2.8%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOregonUCLA
2.7%
<0.1%
IowaMichiganRutgers
2.7%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaOregon
2.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMichiganUSC
2.3%
<0.1%
MichiganUCLAUSC
2.2%
<0.1%
OregonRutgersUCLA
1.9%
<0.1%
MichiganNorthwesternUSC
1.7%
<0.1%
IowaMichiganNorthwestern
1.6%
<0.1%
IowaOregonUSC
1.6%
0.2%
IndianaIowaPenn St
1.4%
<0.1%
IowaNorthwesternPenn St
1.3%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOregonUSC
1.2%
<0.1%
IowaPenn StRutgers
1.2%
<0.1%
Penn StRutgersUSC
1.1%
<0.1%
IowaOregonUCLA
1.0%
0.1%
OregonRutgersUSC
0.9%
0.1%
IowaOregonRutgers
0.9%
0.1%
MichiganPenn StRutgers
0.8%
0.5%
IowaMichiganPenn St
0.8%
0.8%
IowaPenn StUSC
0.6%
0.2%
MichiganNorthwesternPenn St
0.5%
0.4%
Any 4 losses
4.1%
1.6%
E MichiganIowaPenn StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIndianaRutgersWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNorthwesternUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowaUCLAWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganRutgersUSCWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIndianaIowaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganPenn StUSCWashington St
75.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIndianaPenn StWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowaMichiganWashington St
60.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowaOregonWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichiganNorthwesternWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganOregonUCLAWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganNorthwesternOregonWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganOregonUSCWashington St
40.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichiganUSCWashington St
40.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganPenn StUCLAWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowaMichiganUCLA
25.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganOregonRutgersUCLA
20.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichiganOregonWashington St
14.6%
<0.1%
E MichiganOregonPenn StWashington St
12.9%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn StUCLAWashington St
11.1%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichiganPenn StWashington St
10.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNorthwesternUSCWashington St
5.9%
<0.1%
IowaPenn StRutgersWashington St
5.6%
<0.1%
IndianaOregonRutgersWashington St
5.6%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaOregonWashington St
5.6%
<0.1%
IowaMichiganNorthwesternWashington St
4.8%
<0.1%
IowaMichiganRutgersWashington St
4.8%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichiganNorthwesternOregon
4.2%
<0.1%
IndianaMichiganUSCWashington St
4.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMichiganOregonRutgers
3.5%
<0.1%
IowaPenn StUSCWashington St
2.7%
<0.1%
E MichiganOregonPenn StRutgers
2.5%
<0.1%
E MichiganIndianaOregonPenn St
2.3%
<0.1%
MichiganPenn StRutgersWashington St
1.3%
0.1%
IndianaOregonPenn StWashington St
0.8%
0.1%
IowaOregonPenn StWashington St
0.6%
0.3%
OregonPenn StRutgersWashington St
0.6%
0.2%
MichiganOregonUCLAWashington St
0.6%
0.2%
MichiganOregonRutgersWashington St
0.6%
0.2%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

WashingtonCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com