Kentucky

KentuckyWildcats

1-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

KentuckySchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsSouthern MissUSM
W31-0
29/07
vsSouth CarolinaSC
Win prob:69%
39/14
vsGeorgiaUGA
Win prob:11%
49/21
vsOhioOHIO
Win prob:79%
59/28
@MississippiMISS
Win prob:40%
710/12
vsVanderbiltVAN
Win prob:90%
810/19
@FloridaFLA
Win prob:62%
910/26
vsAuburnAUB
Win prob:69%
1011/02
@TennesseeTENN
Win prob:28%
1211/16
vsMurray StateMUR
Win prob:90%
1311/23
@TexasTEX
Win prob:12%
1411/30
vsLouisvilleLOU
Win prob:60%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

KentuckyRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.8%
68.8%
6-2
6.1%
4.9%
5-3
20.4%
0%
4-4
32.8%
0%
3-5
26.8%
0%
2-6
11.0%
0%
1-7
2.0%
0%
0-8
0.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Kentucky CCG Opponents

if Kentucky makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
43.0%
AlabamaAlabama
25.3%
TexasTexas
19.0%
LSULSU
6.3%
OklahomaOklahoma
6.3%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

KentuckyThis Week's Impact

Game
KentuckyCCG OddsAway
KentuckyCCG OddsHome
BuffaloBUF@MissouriMIZ
0.7%
(-0.1%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
TexasTEX@MichiganMICH
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
TennesseeTENN@NC StateNCSU
0.9%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
Tennessee TechTNTC@GeorgiaUGA
0.9%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
Alcorn StateALCN@VanderbiltVAN
1.0%
(+0.2%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
McNeeseMCN@Texas A&MTA&M
0.8%
(-0.1%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
ArkansasARK@Oklahoma StOKST
0.9%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
Mississippi StMSST@Arizona StASU
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
MTSUMTSU@MississippiMISS
0.9%
(+0.1%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
South FloridaUSF@AlabamaALA
0.7%
(-0.1%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
NichollsNICH@LSULSU
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
SamfordSAM@FloridaFLA
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
South CarolinaSC@KentuckyUK
0.1%
(-0.7%)		1.2%
(+0.3%)
HoustonHOU@OklahomaOU
0.6%
(-0.3%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
CaliforniaCAL@AuburnAUB
0.8%
(-0.1%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

KentuckyLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Kentucky CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
72.5%
0.4%
Louisville
100.0%
<0.1%
Auburn
100.0%
<0.1%
South Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio
100.0%
<0.1%
Vanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi
81.3%
<0.1%
Tennessee
76.7%
<0.1%
Florida
70.0%
<0.1%
Texas
69.0%
0.1%
Georgia
65.3%
0.1%
Any 2 losses
12.2%
2.9%
AuburnLouisville
100.0%
<0.1%
Murray StateTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
OhioSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisville
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMurray State
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiOhio
83.3%
<0.1%
OhioTennessee
80.0%
<0.1%
Murray StateTexas
77.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMurray State
72.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleTennessee
72.4%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMississippi
68.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio
67.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLouisville
64.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleTexas
62.0%
<0.1%
OhioTexas
53.8%
<0.1%
MississippiMurray State
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOhio
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippi
35.7%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth Carolina
33.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleSouth Carolina
25.0%
<0.1%
FloridaTennessee
13.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTennessee
12.5%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTennessee
12.5%
<0.1%
AuburnTexas
11.8%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTexas
11.8%
<0.1%
MississippiTennessee
9.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi
8.5%
0.2%
FloridaTexas
8.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi
7.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth Carolina
7.1%
<0.1%
MississippiSouth Carolina
6.7%
<0.1%
MississippiTexas
6.6%
0.2%
GeorgiaTennessee
5.8%
0.3%
AuburnGeorgia
5.6%
<0.1%
TexasVanderbilt
5.3%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexas
4.7%
0.3%
GeorgiaTexas
2.6%
1.0%
FloridaGeorgia
2.1%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
6.8%
2.6%
LouisvilleMississippiOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
Murray StateOhioTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Murray StateOhioSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
Murray StateOhioTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMurray StateSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiMurray StateOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOhioVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMurray StateTennessee
83.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLouisvilleMurray State
77.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLouisvilleOhio
71.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMurray StateOhio
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOhioTexas
59.1%
<0.1%
Murray StateSouth CarolinaTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOhioTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMurray StateTexas
40.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippiOhio
40.0%
<0.1%
OhioTennesseeVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMurray StateSouth Carolina
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLouisvilleTennessee
22.2%
<0.1%
MississippiMurray StateTennessee
20.0%
<0.1%
OhioSouth CarolinaTexas
19.1%
<0.1%
MississippiOhioSouth Carolina
16.7%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMurray State
16.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhioSouth Carolina
15.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleTennessee
14.3%
<0.1%
MississippiMurray StateTexas
14.3%
<0.1%
AuburnLouisvilleMississippi
14.3%
<0.1%
FloridaMurray StateTexas
14.3%
<0.1%
MississippiOhioTennessee
13.3%
<0.1%
Murray StateTennesseeTexas
12.5%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaOhio
11.1%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaLouisville
10.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMurray StateTennessee
9.7%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaOhio
8.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMississippiTennessee
7.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMississippiTexas
6.7%
0.1%
AuburnOhioTexas
6.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippiOhio
5.7%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaLouisville
5.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhioTennessee
5.1%
0.1%
GeorgiaLouisvilleMississippi
5.0%
0.1%
FloridaOhioTexas
4.8%
<0.1%
LouisvilleTennesseeTexas
4.3%
0.2%
OhioTennesseeTexas
3.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLouisvilleTennessee
3.7%
0.2%
GeorgiaOhioTexas
3.5%
0.3%
LouisvilleSouth CarolinaTexas
2.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLouisvilleTexas
2.2%
0.7%
MississippiOhioTexas
1.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMurray StateTexas
0.9%
0.1%
Any 4 losses
6.3%
0.5%
LouisvilleMurray StateOhioTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLouisvilleMurray StateOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLouisvilleMurray StateOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLouisvilleOhioTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleMississippiOhio
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMississippiMurray StateTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMurray StateSouth CarolinaTexas
25.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMississippiOhioTennessee
21.4%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaLouisvilleMurray State
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippiMurray StateOhio
20.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOhioSouth CarolinaTexas
20.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOhioTexasVanderbilt
14.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMurray StateTennesseeTexas
11.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLouisvilleMurray StateTennessee
9.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLouisvilleOhioSouth Carolina
7.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMurray StateOhioTennessee
7.7%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaLouisvilleOhio
7.7%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleOhioTexas
7.1%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOhioTennesseeTexas
6.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLouisvilleMississippiOhio
6.5%
<0.1%
AuburnLouisvilleOhioTexas
6.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMississippiOhioTexas
5.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLouisvilleOhioTennessee
3.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLouisvilleOhioTexas
2.7%
0.2%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

KentuckyCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com