Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | L3-51 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L11-38 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L20-28 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W45-29 | |
| 5 | 9/26 | L14-42 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | Win prob:10% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:54% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:11% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:3% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:32% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:13% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:15% |
Data from 2024-09-29
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0% | 0% |
| 5-3 | 0.1% | 3.2% |
| 4-4 | 1.1% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 8.0% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 28.4% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 42.3% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 20.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-29
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 0.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 16.2%
Data from 2024-09-29
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-29