Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/29 | W62-28 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L24-28 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L10-45 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W23-20 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L20-52 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | Win prob:12% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:46% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:25% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:30% | |
| 12 | 11/14 | Win prob:20% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:18% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:35% |
Data from 2024-09-29
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 0.0% | 88.9% |
| 6-2 | 0.1% | 9.5% |
| 5-3 | 1.3% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 6.5% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 19.3% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 33.1% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 29.2% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 10.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-29
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-09-29
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.2%) |
Best Winner Combination for
UAB
Charlotte
UConn
NavyTulsaCCG: 0.8% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
TulsaCCG: 0.2% • Scenario: 11.8%
Data from 2024-09-29
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
88.9%
<0.1%Any 1 loss
11.1%
0.1%
28.6%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%
16.0%
<0.1%
7.4%
<0.1%
2.4%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-29
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-29