UNLV

UNLVRebels

4-0 T1st (1-0) in MWC

Data from 2024-09-29 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

76.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

UNLVSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
@HoustonHOU
W27-7
29/07
vsUtah TechUTU
W72-14
39/13
vsKansasKU(N)
W23-20
59/28
vsFresno StFRES
W59-14
610/04
vsSyracuseSYR
Win prob:90%
710/11
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:93%
810/19
@Oregon StORST
Win prob:54%
910/25
vsBoise StBOIS
Win prob:61%
1111/09
@HawaiiHAW
Win prob:92%
1211/16
vsSan Diego StSDSU
Win prob:91%
1311/22
@San Jose StSJSU
Win prob:56%
1411/30
vsNevadaNEV
Win prob:96%

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

UNLVRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-0
25.9%
100.0%
6-1
44.3%
97.2%
5-2
24.5%
31.9%
4-3
4.9%
0.5%
3-4
0.4%
0%
2-5
0.0%
0%
1-6
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely UNLV CCG Opponents

if UNLV makes the CCG

Boise StateBoise St
45.2%
San José StateSan Jose St
40.7%
Fresno StateFresno St
11.2%
WyomingWyoming
1.6%
San Diego StateSan Diego St
1.3%

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

UNLVThis Week's Impact

Game
UNLVCCG OddsAway
UNLVCCG OddsHome
Colorado StCSU@Oregon StORST
75.7%
(-1.1%)		76.9%
(+0.1%)
HawaiiHAW@San Diego StSDSU
77.1%
(+0.4%)		76.7%
(-0.1%)
NavyNAVY@Air ForceAF
76.5%
(-0.3%)		77.1%
(+0.3%)
NevadaNEV@San Jose StSJSU
81.4%
(+4.6%)		76.4%
(-0.4%)
SyracuseSYR@UNLVUNLV
76.5%
(-0.3%)		76.8%
(+0.0%)
Utah StUSU@Boise StBOIS
83.0%
(+6.2%)		76.5%
(-0.3%)

Best Winner Combination for UNLV

Colorado StColorado StateHawaiiHawai'iNavyNavyNevadaNevadaUtah StUtah State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for UNLV

NevadaNevada

CCG: 81.4% • Scenario: 7.4%

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

UNLVLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
UNLV CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
12.4%
Any 1 loss
98.3%
33.8%
Oregon St
100.0%
10.9%
Syracuse
100.0%
1.4%
Hawaii
100.0%
1.0%
Nevada
100.0%
0.5%
Utah St
100.0%
0.9%
San Diego St
99.9%
1.2%
San Jose St
97.6%
9.8%
Boise St
95.9%
8.1%
Any 2 losses
74.2%
33.8%
Oregon StSyracuse
100.0%
1.2%
NevadaOregon St
100.0%
0.5%
HawaiiSyracuse
100.0%
0.1%
SyracuseUtah St
100.0%
0.1%
NevadaSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon St
99.9%
0.9%
Oregon StSan Diego St
99.7%
1.0%
Oregon StUtah St
99.6%
0.8%
San Diego StSyracuse
99.1%
0.1%
Oregon StSan Jose St
97.1%
8.3%
San Jose StSyracuse
96.3%
1.1%
Boise StSyracuse
96.1%
0.9%
Boise StOregon St
96.0%
6.8%
NevadaUtah St
91.9%
<0.1%
HawaiiUtah St
82.9%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Diego St
81.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiNevada
77.1%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Diego St
76.4%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah St
70.6%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaii
56.1%
0.6%
Boise StNevada
53.8%
0.3%
Boise StUtah St
53.2%
0.6%
San Jose StUtah St
50.9%
0.7%
HawaiiSan Jose St
49.0%
0.8%
NevadaSan Jose St
46.3%
0.4%
San Diego StSan Jose St
45.4%
0.9%
Boise StSan Diego St
43.5%
0.8%
Boise StSan Jose St
14.2%
6.3%
Any 3 losses
41.5%
13.8%
Oregon StSyracuseUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StSyracuseUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSyracuse
100.0%
0.1%
NevadaOregon StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
99.2%
0.1%
Oregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
97.3%
0.9%
Boise StOregon StSyracuse
95.8%
0.8%
HawaiiOregon StUtah St
89.5%
<0.1%
HawaiiNevadaOregon St
88.6%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StUtah St
85.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StUtah St
80.8%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSan Diego St
79.8%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSan Diego St
73.2%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Diego StSyracuse
71.4%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Diego StSyracuse
66.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiSyracuseUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiNevadaSyracuse
66.7%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaSyracuse
62.5%
<0.1%
San Jose StSyracuseUtah St
61.1%
<0.1%
NevadaSyracuseUtah St
60.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Jose StSyracuse
56.4%
0.1%
Boise StSyracuseUtah St
56.2%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StUtah St
56.1%
0.5%
Boise StHawaiiOregon St
55.6%
0.6%
Boise StHawaiiSyracuse
55.2%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaOregon St
54.5%
0.3%
NevadaOregon StSan Jose St
51.9%
0.4%
HawaiiOregon StSan Jose St
51.7%
0.7%
Oregon StSan Jose StUtah St
50.0%
0.6%
Oregon StSan Diego StSan Jose St
45.1%
0.7%
Boise StOregon StSan Diego St
44.8%
0.7%
San Diego StSan Jose StSyracuse
44.0%
0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StSyracuse
42.5%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Jose StSyracuse
39.1%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Jose StSyracuse
15.3%
0.8%
Boise StOregon StSan Jose St
13.5%
5.3%
NevadaSan Jose StUtah St
7.4%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiNevada
4.3%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaUtah St
3.5%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Diego StSan Jose St
2.8%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiUtah St
2.2%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Diego StSan Jose St
1.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
23.1%
1.5%
HawaiiNevadaOregon StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSyracuseUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiNevadaSan Jose StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSyracuseUtah St
90.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
72.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSyracuseUtah St
71.4%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiOregon StSyracuse
60.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Jose StSyracuseUtah St
56.4%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StSyracuseUtah St
54.7%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaOregon StSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
41.0%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
40.9%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
40.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSan Jose StSyracuse
38.5%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StSan Jose StSyracuse
14.8%
0.6%
HawaiiOregon StSan Jose StUtah St
4.7%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSan Jose StUtah St
4.3%
<0.1%
NevadaOregon StSan Diego StSan Jose St
2.9%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiOregon StUtah St
2.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaOregon StSan Jose St
1.1%
0.3%

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

UNLVCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com