Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L7-27 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L12-16 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W33-7 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L0-34 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L0-20 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | Win prob:19% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:22% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:24% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:12% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:9% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:39% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:15% |
Data from 2024-09-29
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | 0% | 0% |
| 6-3 | 0.0% | 21.1% |
| 5-4 | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 4-5 | 2.6% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 10.9% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 28.3% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 37.8% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 20.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-29
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 0.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 15.8%
Data from 2024-09-29
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-29