Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W45-3 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L12-23 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W31-3 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L31-38 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L28-34 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | L21-43 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:20% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:53% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:51% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:23% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:51% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:42% |
Data from 2024-10-06
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | 0.3% | 1.2% |
| 5-4 | 3.1% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 13.3% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 28.9% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 32.4% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 18.1% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 4.0% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-06
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-06
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
UCF
Colorado
Arizona State
Arizona
Iowa StateCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 1.8%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Arizona StateCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 44.3%
Data from 2024-10-06
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
1.2%
0.3%Data from 2024-10-06
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-06