Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/29 | W48-3 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L17-23 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L20-23 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L28-32 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L27-38 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | L31-35 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:73% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:20% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:25% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:38% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:63% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:58% |
Data from 2024-10-06
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | 0.5% | 3.3% |
| 5-4 | 5.2% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 19.5% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 34.2% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 28.0% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 11.0% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 1.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-06
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-06
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Cincinnati
Kansas State
Arizona State
BYU
West VirginiaCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 2.6%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Arizona StateCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 44.3%
Data from 2024-10-06
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-06