Big XII

Big XII Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-10-06

Big XIIConference Standings

T1Texas TechTTU3-05-144.7%
T1Iowa StISU2-05-055.9%
T1BYUBYU2-05-023.5%
T1West VirginiaWVU2-03-214.3%
T1ColoradoCOLO2-04-12.7%
T6Kansas StKSU1-14-124.0%
T6ArizonaARIZ1-13-223.8%
T6UtahUTAH1-14-17.4%
T6CincinnatiCIN1-13-21.3%
T6UCFUCF1-13-21.3%
T6Arizona StASU1-14-10.8%
T12TCUTCU1-23-30.3%
T12HoustonHOU1-22-4<0.1%
T14KansasKU0-31-5<0.1%
T14Oklahoma StOKST0-33-3<0.1%
T14BaylorBAY0-32-4-

Based on 100,000 simulationsData from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIICCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Big XII CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 55.9%
Game
Iowa StCCG OddsAway
Iowa StCCG OddsHome
55.8%
(-0.1%)
55.9%
(+0.1%)
55.9%
(+0.1%)
55.7%
(-0.2%)
55.8%
(-0.0%)
55.9%
(+0.0%)
55.5%
(-0.4%)
56.3%
(+0.4%)
67.7%
(+11.8%)
35.3%
(-20.5%)

Best Winner Combination for Iowa St

UCFUCFColoradoColoradoArizona StArizona StateArizonaArizonaIowa StIowa State

CCG: 69.3% • Scenario: 1.8%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Iowa St

Iowa StIowa State

CCG: 67.7% • Scenario: 63.4%

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIICCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team9-08-17-26-35-4Overall
Iowa StISU100%97.8%58.7%4.8%-55.9%
Texas TechTTU100%96.6%54.5%5.3%<0.1%44.7%
Kansas StKSU-96.6%45.0%3.1%<0.1%24.0%
ArizonaARIZ-95.2%53.0%5.3%-23.8%
BYUBYU100%90.4%38.4%1.3%-23.5%
West VirginiaWVU100%98.5%55.6%4.2%-14.3%
UtahUTAH-97.4%44.5%2.1%<0.1%7.4%
ColoradoCOLO100%94.3%44.2%1.9%-2.7%
CincinnatiCIN-97.6%54.4%4.9%-1.3%
UCFUCF-100%66.7%9.2%-1.3%
Arizona StASU-90.3%46.6%4.3%<0.1%0.8%
TCUTCU--45.4%2.1%-0.3%
HoustonHOU--53.3%2.5%-<0.1%
KansasKU---3.3%-<0.1%
Oklahoma StOKST---5.3%-<0.1%
BaylorBAY---1.2%--

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIIFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team9-08-17-26-35-44-53-62-71-80-9Avg Wins
Iowa StISU(2-0)9.2%26.9%32.8%21.3%7.9%1.7%0.2%<0.1%--7.0
Texas TechTTU(3-0)4.2%20.8%34.8%27.1%10.8%2.1%0.2%---6.7
BYUBYU(2-0)2.2%12.0%26.0%30.5%20.2%7.4%1.5%0.1%--6.2
Kansas StKSU(1-1)-9.8%29.9%34.1%19.1%6.0%1.0%<0.1%0.0%-6.2
ArizonaARIZ(1-1)-8.6%26.1%33.0%22.0%8.3%1.8%0.2%<0.1%-6.0
West VirginiaWVU(2-0)0.4%4.2%15.4%28.5%29.6%16.7%4.7%0.4%--5.5
UtahUTAH(1-1)-2.0%11.1%25.3%30.0%21.0%8.6%1.8%0.2%-5.1
ColoradoCOLO(2-0)<0.1%0.6%4.2%14.7%28.2%30.9%17.4%4.0%--4.5
CincinnatiCIN(1-1)-<0.1%1.5%8.3%22.1%31.8%24.6%10.1%1.6%-3.9
Arizona StASU(1-1)-<0.1%1.1%6.0%18.2%29.7%28.1%14.0%2.8%-3.7
UCFUCF(1-1)-<0.1%1.0%5.7%17.2%29.2%28.5%15.1%3.3%-3.6
TCUTCU(1-2)--0.5%4.1%15.4%29.5%30.8%16.3%3.4%-3.5
KansasKU(0-3)---0.5%5.2%19.5%34.2%28.0%11.0%1.5%2.8
HoustonHOU(1-2)--<0.1%0.3%2.8%12.6%31.0%36.9%16.4%-2.5
Oklahoma StOKST(0-3)---0.4%4.0%15.0%29.1%30.5%17.1%3.9%2.5
BaylorBAY(0-3)---0.3%3.1%13.3%28.9%32.4%18.1%4.0%2.4

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com