Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.1%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L7-40 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L24-27 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L10-28 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L17-27 | |
| 6 | 10/03 | L21-41 | |
| 7 | 10/10 | Win prob:16% | |
| 8 | 10/16 | Win prob:47% | |
| 9 | 10/22 | Win prob:36% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:58% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:44% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:1% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:34% |
Data from 2024-10-06
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.3% | 25.3% |
| 5-3 | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| 4-4 | 12.9% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 28.2% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 32.3% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 19.1% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 4.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-06
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-06
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2% (+0.1%) | 0.1% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.6% (+0.5%) | 0.0% (-0.1%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.2% (+0.1%) | 0.1% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
New Mexico StateUTEP
Louisiana Tech
Florida InternationalCCG: 2.2% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
UTEPCCG: 0.6% • Scenario: 16.4%
Data from 2024-10-06
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-06