Big XII

Big XII Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-10-13

Big XIIConference Standings

T1Iowa StISU3-06-068.3%
T1BYUBYU3-06-051.9%
T1Texas TechTTU3-05-139.3%
T4Kansas StKSU2-15-125.6%
T4West VirginiaWVU2-13-35.4%
T4CincinnatiCIN2-14-22.3%
T4Arizona StASU2-15-11.7%
T4ColoradoCOLO2-14-21.0%
T9ArizonaARIZ1-23-32.8%
T9UtahUTAH1-24-21.3%
T9TCUTCU1-23-30.2%
T9UCFUCF1-23-30.2%
T9HoustonHOU1-22-4<0.1%
T14KansasKU0-31-5<0.1%
T14Oklahoma StOKST0-33-3<0.1%
T14BaylorBAY0-32-4-

Based on 100,000 simulationsData from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIICCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Big XII CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 68.3%
Game
Iowa StCCG OddsAway
Iowa StCCG OddsHome
72.0%
(+3.7%)
67.3%
(-1.0%)
67.3%
(-0.9%)
68.7%
(+0.4%)
68.2%
(-0.1%)
68.3%
(+0.0%)
67.5%
(-0.8%)
68.8%
(+0.6%)
66.8%
(-1.4%)
70.7%
(+2.4%)
72.2%
(+3.9%)
67.3%
(-1.0%)
45.1%
(-23.2%)
71.8%
(+3.5%)
68.7%
(+0.4%)
68.1%
(-0.2%)

Best Winner Combination for Iowa St

Oklahoma StOklahoma StateUtahUtahColoradoColoradoCincinnatiCincinnatiKansas StKansas StateBaylorBaylorUCFUCFHoustonHouston

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Iowa St

Iowa StIowa State

CCG: 71.8% • Scenario: 86.8%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIICCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team9-08-17-26-35-4Overall
Iowa StISU100%94.8%52.4%4.4%-68.3%
BYUBYU100%88.9%44.5%2.4%-51.9%
Texas TechTTU100%92.6%42.9%3.6%-39.3%
Kansas StKSU-97.2%41.5%4.0%<0.1%25.6%
West VirginiaWVU-94.7%37.0%2.3%-5.4%
ArizonaARIZ--26.4%1.8%-2.8%
CincinnatiCIN-97.5%45.0%3.6%-2.3%
Arizona StASU-92.7%40.1%2.6%-1.7%
UtahUTAH--48.5%1.4%-1.3%
ColoradoCOLO-72.7%22.5%0.9%-1.0%
TCUTCU--27.8%1.2%-0.2%
UCFUCF--74.8%7.8%-0.2%
KansasKU---7.0%-<0.1%
Oklahoma StOKST---6.8%-<0.1%
HoustonHOU--41.2%2.2%-<0.1%
BaylorBAY---1.1%--

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIIFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team9-08-17-26-35-44-53-62-71-80-9Avg Wins
Iowa StISU(3-0)17.4%36.4%30.1%12.8%2.9%0.3%<0.1%---7.5
BYUBYU(3-0)10.2%29.5%33.8%19.7%5.9%0.9%<0.1%---7.2
Texas TechTTU(3-0)4.0%21.1%34.5%27.2%11.0%2.2%0.2%---6.7
Kansas StKSU(2-1)-10.7%33.3%34.7%16.8%4.1%0.5%<0.1%--6.3
West VirginiaWVU(2-1)-1.4%9.4%25.3%33.3%22.5%7.2%0.8%--5.1
ArizonaARIZ(1-2)--8.6%26.9%33.8%21.7%7.6%1.3%0.1%-5.0
CincinnatiCIN(2-1)-0.2%3.3%15.5%31.7%31.5%15.0%2.8%--4.5
ColoradoCOLO(2-1)-0.3%3.2%13.6%28.5%32.3%18.1%4.0%--4.4
Arizona StASU(2-1)-0.3%2.9%13.1%28.5%32.4%18.7%4.2%--4.4
UtahUTAH(1-2)--2.3%12.7%28.3%31.5%18.8%5.7%0.7%-4.3
TCUTCU(1-2)--0.5%5.0%16.9%30.3%29.5%14.9%2.9%-3.6
UCFUCF(1-2)--0.1%1.5%8.2%22.6%34.1%25.6%7.8%-3.0
KansasKU(0-3)---0.4%4.3%17.8%33.4%30.0%12.2%1.9%2.7
HoustonHOU(1-2)--<0.1%0.3%3.1%13.3%31.5%36.2%15.6%-2.5
BaylorBAY(0-3)---0.3%3.2%13.5%29.0%32.1%17.9%4.0%2.4
Oklahoma StOKST(0-3)---0.3%3.2%13.1%28.0%32.2%18.8%4.5%2.4

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com