ArizonaWildcats

3-3 T9th (1-2) in B12

Data from 2024-10-13 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsNew MexicoUNM	W61-39
2	9/07	vsNorthern ArizonaNAU	W22-10
3	9/13	@Kansas StateKSU	L7-31
5	9/28	@UtahUTAH	W23-10
6	10/05	vsTexas TechTTU	L22-28
7	10/12	@BYUBYU	L19-41
8	10/19	vsColoradoCOLO	Win prob:74%
9	10/26	vsWest VirginiaWVU	Win prob:60%
10	11/02	@UCFUCF	Win prob:59%
12	11/15	vsHoustonHOU	Win prob:83%
13	11/23	@TCUTCU	Win prob:58%
14	11/30	vsArizona StateASU	Win prob:69%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-2	8.6%	26.4%
6-3	26.9%	1.8%
5-4	33.8%	0%
4-5	21.7%	0%
3-6	7.6%	0%
2-7	1.3%	0%
1-8	0.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

37.3%

25.0%

25.0%

11.6%

1.1%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Oklahoma StateOKST@BYUBYU	3.6% (+0.9%)	2.5% (-0.2%)
TCUTCU@UtahUTAH	2.6% (-0.1%)	2.8% (+0.1%)
ColoradoCOLO@ArizonaARIZ	0.3% (-2.5%)	3.6% (+0.9%)
Arizona StateASU@CincinnatiCIN	3.1% (+0.4%)	2.5% (-0.3%)
Kansas StateKSU@West VirginiaWVU	2.3% (-0.4%)	3.5% (+0.7%)
BaylorBAY@Texas TechTTU	3.4% (+0.6%)	2.6% (-0.1%)
UCFUCF@Iowa StateISU	4.9% (+2.2%)	2.4% (-0.3%)
HoustonHOU@KansasKU	2.9% (+0.2%)	2.7% (-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Oklahoma State

TCU

Arizona

Cincinnati

Kansas State

Baylor

UCF

Houston

CCG: 23.1% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Arizona

CCG: 3.6% • Scenario: 74.0%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

26.4%

8.6%

Any 1 loss

1.8%

26.9%

2.7%

6.4%

2.3%

1.7%

2.0%

3.2%

1.6%

6.2%

1.4%

3.8%

0.8%

5.5%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com