Michigan

MichiganWolverines

4-3 T7th (2-2) in B1G

Data from 2024-10-20 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MichiganSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsFresno StFRES
W30-10
29/07
vsTexasTEX
L12-31
39/14
vsArkansas StARST
W28-18
49/21
vsUSCUSC
W27-24
59/28
vsMinnesotaMINN
W27-24
610/05
@WashingtonWASH
L17-27
810/19
@IllinoisILL
L7-21
910/26
vsMichigan StMSU
Win prob:92%
1011/02
vsOregonORE
Win prob:34%
1111/09
@IndianaIU
Win prob:46%
1311/23
vsNorthwesternNU
Win prob:87%
1411/30
@Ohio StOSU
Win prob:14%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

MichiganRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-2
1.8%
59.6%
6-3
16.5%
0.2%
5-4
41.4%
0%
4-5
33.6%
0%
3-6
6.4%
0%
2-7
0.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Michigan CCG Opponents

if Michigan makes the CCG

OregonOregon
44.3%
Penn StatePenn St
33.0%
Ohio StateOhio St
16.0%
WisconsinWisconsin
4.7%
IllinoisIllinois
1.9%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

MichiganThis Week's Impact

Game
MichiganCCG OddsAway
MichiganCCG OddsHome
WashingtonWASH@IndianaIU
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.0%
(-0.0%)
Michigan StMSU@MichiganMICH
0.0%
(-1.1%)		1.2%
(+0.1%)
NebraskaNEB@Ohio StOSU
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
Penn StPSU@WisconsinWIS
0.9%
(-0.2%)		1.3%
(+0.3%)
MarylandMD@MinnesotaMINN
1.0%
(-0.1%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
IllinoisILL@OregonORE
1.4%
(+0.4%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
NorthwesternNU@IowaIOWA
1.1%
(+0.0%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
RutgersRUTG@USCUSC
1.0%
(-0.1%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Michigan

IndianaIndianaMichiganMichiganNebraskaNebraskaWisconsinWisconsinIllinoisIllinoisRutgersRutgers

CCG: 50.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Michigan

MichiganMichiganWisconsinWisconsin

CCG: 1.5% • Scenario: 34.6%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

MichiganLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Michigan CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
59.6%
1.8%
Northwestern
0.8%
0.3%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

MichiganCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com