ArkansasRazorbacks

4-3 T8th (2-2) in SEC

Data from 2024-10-20 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/29	vsArkansas-Pine BluffUAPB(N)	W70-0
2	9/07	@Oklahoma StateOKST	L31-39
3	9/14	vsUABUAB	W37-27
4	9/21	@AuburnAUB	W24-14
5	9/28	vsTexas A&MTA&M(N)	L17-21
6	10/05	vsTennesseeTENN	W19-14
8	10/19	vsLSULSU	L10-34
9	10/26	@Mississippi StateMSST	Win prob:54%
10	11/02	vsOle MissMISS	Win prob:11%
12	11/16	vsTexasTEX	Win prob:4%
13	11/23	vsLouisiana TechLT	Win prob:82%
14	11/30	@MissouriMIZ	Win prob:15%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-2	0.0%	33.3%
5-3	1.3%	0%
4-4	14.9%	0%
3-5	50.7%	0%
2-6	33.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
OklahomaOU@Ole MissMISS	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
MissouriMIZ@AlabamaALA	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
LSULSU@Texas A&MTA&M	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
ArkansasARK@Mississippi StateMSST	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
AuburnAUB@KentuckyUK	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
TexasTEX@VanderbiltVAN	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Ole Miss

Missouri

LSU

Arkansas

Auburn

Texas

CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 1.5%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Ole Miss

Arkansas

Texas

CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 43.5%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-10-20 • SportsSimulate.com