Tennessee

TennesseeVolunteers

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-08-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

16.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

TennesseeSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsSyracuseSYR(N)
Win prob:87%
29/06
vsEast Tennessee StateETSU
Win prob:90%
39/13
vsGeorgiaUGA
Win prob:24%
49/20
vsUABUAB
Win prob:96%
59/27
@Mississippi StMSST
Win prob:86%
710/11
vsArkansasARK
Win prob:83%
810/18
@AlabamaALA
Win prob:48%
910/25
@KentuckyUK
Win prob:80%
1011/01
vsOklahomaOU
Win prob:76%
1211/15
vsNew Mexico StNMSU
Win prob:97%
1311/22
@FloridaFLA
Win prob:59%
1411/29
vsVanderbiltVAN
Win prob:89%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

TennesseeRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
2.7%
99.7%
7-1
15.9%
64.8%
6-2
31.7%
9.7%
5-3
29.8%
0.0%
4-4
14.9%
0%
3-5
4.2%
0%
2-6
0.7%
0%
1-7
0.1%
0%
0-8
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Tennessee CCG Opponents

if Tennessee makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
59.0%
Ole MissMississippi
23.9%
TexasTexas
11.9%
AlabamaAlabama
2.7%
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
2.5%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

TennesseeThis Week's Impact

Game
TennesseeCCG OddsAway
TennesseeCCG OddsHome

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

TennesseeLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Tennessee CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
99.7%
2.0%
Any 1 loss
66.8%
12.0%
UAB
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Syracuse
99.7%
0.3%
East Tennessee State
99.5%
0.2%
Vanderbilt
92.1%
0.3%
Alabama
88.3%
2.0%
Oklahoma
86.8%
0.6%
Arkansas
86.0%
0.4%
Mississippi St
72.9%
0.3%
Kentucky
71.4%
0.5%
Florida
69.7%
1.3%
Georgia
50.6%
6.0%
Any 2 losses
18.2%
27.0%
New Mexico StVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
UABVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
SyracuseUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasUAB
94.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasNew Mexico St
94.1%
<0.1%
SyracuseVanderbilt
91.5%
<0.1%
OklahomaUAB
90.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee State
88.9%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateOklahoma
88.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaUAB
88.0%
0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee State
87.4%
0.2%
AlabamaSyracuse
87.0%
0.3%
East Tennessee StateVanderbilt
85.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaNew Mexico St
85.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StOklahoma
83.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasSyracuse
82.0%
<0.1%
KentuckySyracuse
80.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSyracuse
78.6%
0.1%
East Tennessee StateKentucky
77.5%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateMississippi St
75.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFlorida
74.2%
0.1%
Mississippi StSyracuse
72.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyNew Mexico St
69.6%
<0.1%
FloridaUAB
69.2%
<0.1%
KentuckyUAB
68.2%
<0.1%
FloridaSyracuse
65.0%
0.2%
Mississippi StUAB
60.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSyracuse
51.5%
1.0%
FloridaNew Mexico St
51.4%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateGeorgia
49.3%
0.7%
GeorgiaUAB
47.7%
0.3%
GeorgiaNew Mexico St
45.1%
0.2%
ArkansasVanderbilt
28.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi St
22.1%
<0.1%
KentuckyVanderbilt
21.9%
<0.1%
Mississippi StVanderbilt
21.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi St
20.5%
0.4%
AlabamaArkansas
20.4%
0.4%
FloridaVanderbilt
19.4%
0.2%
KentuckyOklahoma
18.5%
0.2%
ArkansasOklahoma
17.4%
0.1%
AlabamaVanderbilt
17.3%
0.3%
AlabamaKentucky
17.2%
0.5%
FloridaKentucky
16.9%
0.4%
FloridaMississippi St
16.7%
0.2%
ArkansasKentucky
16.4%
0.1%
ArkansasFlorida
15.7%
0.3%
ArkansasMississippi St
15.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahoma
14.9%
0.7%
OklahomaVanderbilt
14.1%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahoma
13.6%
0.4%
AlabamaFlorida
13.4%
1.3%
Mississippi StOklahoma
12.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaVanderbilt
12.4%
0.8%
GeorgiaMississippi St
9.8%
1.0%
AlabamaGeorgia
8.9%
6.6%
GeorgiaKentucky
8.9%
1.5%
ArkansasGeorgia
6.1%
1.2%
FloridaGeorgia
5.8%
4.1%
GeorgiaOklahoma
4.3%
1.9%
Any 3 losses
12.1%
8.3%
East Tennessee StateMississippi StNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateSyracuseVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateUABVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateNew Mexico StOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSyracuseUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyNew Mexico StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyNew Mexico StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StSyracuseUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StSyracuseVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateNew Mexico StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StNew Mexico StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNew Mexico StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateKentuckyNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaNew Mexico StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateNew Mexico St
87.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateSyracuse
85.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaSyracuseUAB
85.7%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateOklahomaUAB
83.3%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateOklahomaSyracuse
83.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateUAB
81.8%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateMississippi StUAB
80.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaSyracuse
75.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasNew Mexico StSyracuse
75.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaUAB
70.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaSyracuse
66.7%
0.1%
KentuckySyracuseUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
New Mexico StOklahomaSyracuse
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaNew Mexico StSyracuse
64.3%
<0.1%
FloridaSyracuseUAB
64.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSyracuseUAB
62.9%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateMississippi StSyracuse
60.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaNew Mexico St
55.6%
<0.1%
Mississippi StUABVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaNew Mexico StUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSyracuseVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyUABVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateKentuckySyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSyracuseUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSyracuseUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateMississippi St
44.4%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi StUAB
40.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaNew Mexico StSyracuse
39.3%
<0.1%
KentuckySyracuseVanderbilt
38.5%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaUAB
37.5%
<0.1%
FloridaNew Mexico StSyracuse
37.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi StNew Mexico St
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaNew Mexico StOklahoma
31.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaNew Mexico St
30.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateKentuckyVanderbilt
28.6%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi StSyracuse
28.6%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StUAB
28.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaSyracuseVanderbilt
27.3%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyUAB
27.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentuckySyracuse
27.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaUAB
25.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyNew Mexico StVanderbilt
25.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StOklahomaVanderbilt
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateVanderbilt
24.1%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckySyracuse
23.9%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaVanderbilt
23.5%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaUAB
23.1%
<0.1%
FloridaSyracuseVanderbilt
22.7%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateOklahomaVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StNew Mexico StOklahoma
20.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSyracuseVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckySyracuse
19.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateMississippi St
19.2%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahomaSyracuse
18.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateOklahoma
18.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaSyracuse
17.9%
0.2%
AlabamaArkansasUAB
17.6%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaMississippi St
17.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaUAB
17.3%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateMississippi StOklahoma
16.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyNew Mexico St
16.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaNew Mexico StVanderbilt
16.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateKentuckyOklahoma
15.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasSyracuse
15.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaUABVanderbilt
15.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StSyracuse
14.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaNew Mexico St
14.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateOklahoma
13.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasNew Mexico St
13.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StNew Mexico St
13.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateFlorida
12.6%
0.2%
FloridaOklahomaSyracuse
12.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaSyracuse
12.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaUABVanderbilt
12.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StUAB
11.9%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaKentucky
11.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaSyracuse
11.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateKentucky
11.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi StSyracuse
10.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSyracuseVanderbilt
10.5%
0.1%
ArkansasMississippi StSyracuse
10.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaSyracuse
9.6%
0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckySyracuse
9.5%
0.2%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaKentucky
9.5%
0.2%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaMississippi St
9.3%
0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateKentucky
9.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasEast Tennessee State
9.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi StUAB
9.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyUAB
8.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyNew Mexico St
8.6%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaSyracuse
8.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaSyracuse
8.3%
1.0%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateGeorgia
8.2%
0.7%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaVanderbilt
8.0%
0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaUAB
7.8%
0.3%
FloridaGeorgiaNew Mexico St
7.8%
0.1%
East Tennessee StateKentuckyMississippi St
7.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateFlorida
7.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StSyracuse
7.3%
0.2%
FloridaKentuckyNew Mexico St
6.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaSyracuse
6.5%
0.2%
GeorgiaOklahomaSyracuse
6.2%
0.3%
FloridaGeorgiaUAB
6.2%
0.2%
GeorgiaNew Mexico StOklahoma
6.1%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaOklahoma
5.4%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaSyracuse
5.3%
0.6%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaOklahoma
5.2%
0.2%
East Tennessee StateFloridaGeorgia
4.2%
0.5%
ArkansasGeorgiaUAB
3.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateGeorgia
3.9%
0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaNew Mexico St
3.5%
0.2%
ArkansasGeorgiaNew Mexico St
3.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaMississippi St
2.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaUAB
1.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyMississippi St
1.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
8.7%
0.8%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateSyracuseUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateFloridaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateNew Mexico StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaSyracuseUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateOklahomaSyracuseVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateNew Mexico StOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaNew Mexico StSyracuseVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaNew Mexico StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNew Mexico StSyracuseUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaSyracuseUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateKentuckySyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateSyracuseVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaSyracuseUABVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaNew Mexico StSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNew Mexico StOklahomaUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateMississippi StUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyNew Mexico StOklahomaSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StSyracuseUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaUABVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateKentuckyUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateKentuckySyracuseVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaNew Mexico StOklahoma
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateGeorgiaUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaOklahomaSyracuse
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateKentuckyNew Mexico St
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasEast Tennessee StateUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaOklahomaUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateOklahomaUAB
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaNew Mexico StSyracuseVanderbilt
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSyracuseUABVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasEast Tennessee StateGeorgiaSyracuse
18.8%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateKentuckyOklahomaSyracuse
16.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasEast Tennessee StateSyracuse
16.7%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaKentuckyUAB
14.3%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaOklahomaUAB
14.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaSyracuseUAB
12.5%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaMississippi StSyracuse
12.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaSyracuseUAB
12.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaNew Mexico StSyracuse
12.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateKentuckySyracuse
12.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateGeorgiaSyracuse
11.9%
0.1%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaKentuckySyracuse
11.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateFloridaSyracuse
11.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateMississippi StSyracuse
11.1%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaGeorgiaNew Mexico St
9.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaNew Mexico StUAB
8.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaSyracuseUAB
7.0%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaSyracuseUAB
6.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateGeorgiaNew Mexico St
6.7%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateGeorgiaSyracuseVanderbilt
6.3%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaNew Mexico StSyracuse
5.0%
<0.1%
East Tennessee StateFloridaGeorgiaSyracuse
4.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaEast Tennessee StateGeorgiaUAB
2.6%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaKentuckySyracuse
0.5%
0.2%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com