Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | Win prob:27% | |
| 2 | 9/06 | Win prob:16% | |
| 3 | 9/12 | Win prob:68% | |
| 5 | 9/27 | Win prob:42% | |
| 6 | 10/04 | Win prob:3% | |
| 7 | 10/11 | Win prob:42% | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:43% | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:7% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:41% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:3% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:30% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:6% |
Data from 2025-08-22
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 0% | 0% |
| 8-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 7-2 | 0.0% | 7.1% |
| 6-3 | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| 5-4 | 2.3% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 10.1% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 24.8% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 33.2% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 22.9% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 6.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-08-22
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|
Data from 2025-08-22
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
100.0%
<0.1%Data from 2025-08-22