Big Ten Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	Overall
Penn StatePSU	100%	88.1%	17.4%	0.3%	72.0%
Ohio StateOSU	99.9%	81.7%	14.2%	0.1%	53.5%
USCUSC	99.9%	46.4%	3.7%	<0.1%	26.4%
OregonORE	100%	90.1%	21.2%	0.1%	21.4%
MichiganMICH	100%	54.6%	3.9%	<0.1%	12.3%
IndianaIU	99.2%	55.5%	4.8%	<0.1%	9.3%
IowaIOWA	100%	88.3%	19.3%	<0.1%	1.8%
MinnesotaMINN	97.5%	46.5%	2.3%	-	1.2%
WashingtonWASH	100%	65.0%	5.6%	<0.1%	0.9%
IllinoisILL	100%	62.6%	7.0%	-	0.5%
MarylandMD	100%	33.0%	3.6%	-	0.2%
NebraskaNEB	-	71.7%	9.2%	<0.1%	0.2%
WisconsinWIS	100%	90.9%	23.0%	0.3%	0.2%
RutgersRUTG	-	90.0%	17.3%	<0.1%	<0.1%
Michigan StateMSU	-	-	16.7%	1.1%	-
NorthwesternNU	-	-	25.0%	-	-
PurduePUR	-	-	-	-	-
UCLAUCLA	-	-	7.1%	0.5%	-

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	4-5	3-6	2-7	1-8	0-9	Avg Wins
Penn StatePSU(0-0)	29.8%	43.7%	21.0%	4.8%	0.7%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	8.0
Ohio StateOSU(0-0)	16.9%	39.6%	30.2%	10.9%	2.1%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.6
USCUSC(0-0)	10.4%	31.8%	33.7%	18.0%	5.2%	0.9%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.2
MichiganMICH(0-0)	2.7%	15.4%	32.0%	29.9%	14.8%	4.5%	0.7%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.4
OregonORE(0-0)	2.0%	14.4%	30.2%	29.7%	16.8%	5.5%	1.2%	0.1%	<0.1%	0.0%	6.3
IndianaIU(0-0)	1.2%	11.9%	31.9%	33.4%	16.4%	4.5%	0.7%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.3
MinnesotaMINN(0-0)	<0.1%	1.8%	11.1%	27.6%	31.7%	19.3%	6.9%	1.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	5.2
WashingtonWASH(0-0)	<0.1%	0.9%	5.2%	16.2%	28.0%	27.7%	16.0%	5.1%	0.9%	<0.1%	4.5
IowaIOWA(0-0)	<0.1%	0.9%	5.3%	15.9%	27.5%	27.4%	16.5%	5.5%	0.9%	<0.1%	4.5
IllinoisILL(0-0)	<0.1%	0.4%	3.3%	12.6%	25.4%	30.0%	19.7%	7.1%	1.4%	<0.1%	4.2
MarylandMD(0-0)	<0.1%	0.3%	2.1%	8.0%	18.3%	27.0%	24.8%	14.4%	4.5%	0.6%	3.7
NebraskaNEB(0-0)	0.0%	0.1%	1.1%	5.8%	16.8%	28.5%	27.8%	15.3%	4.3%	0.4%	3.6
WisconsinWIS(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.5%	3.1%	11.0%	23.4%	30.1%	22.0%	8.5%	1.3%	3.1
RutgersRUTG(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.8%	8.1%	20.9%	30.9%	25.8%	10.6%	1.6%	2.9
NorthwesternNU(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	2.2%	10.5%	26.8%	35.6%	20.6%	3.9%	2.3
UCLAUCLA(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	2.3%	10.1%	24.8%	33.2%	22.9%	6.5%	2.2
Michigan StateMSU(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.9%	5.2%	17.8%	33.7%	31.6%	10.6%	1.8
PurduePUR(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	7.3%	23.5%	40.0%	27.7%	1.2

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com