Big XII Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	Overall
TCUTCU	100%	99.3%	72.6%	12.2%	<0.1%	34.5%
Arizona StateASU	100%	98.6%	69.2%	9.2%	<0.1%	34.2%
Kansas StateKSU	100%	99.2%	76.1%	16.1%	<0.1%	23.8%
KansasKU	100%	97.0%	59.6%	5.6%	-	22.3%
BYUBYU	100%	98.1%	66.9%	9.0%	<0.1%	18.8%
UtahUTAH	100%	99.4%	74.6%	15.1%	<0.1%	15.7%
Iowa StateISU	100%	99.6%	75.9%	12.0%	<0.1%	13.6%
ColoradoCOLO	100%	99.3%	72.2%	9.7%	<0.1%	10.1%
BaylorBAY	100%	98.8%	63.8%	5.8%	<0.1%	9.7%
Texas TechTTU	100%	98.0%	65.7%	6.6%	-	7.0%
UCFUCF	100%	97.1%	55.6%	4.0%	-	6.6%
CincinnatiCIN	100%	98.2%	67.6%	9.7%	<0.1%	1.7%
ArizonaARIZ	100%	98.1%	68.0%	5.9%	-	0.9%
West VirginiaWVU	100%	100%	73.8%	16.3%	<0.1%	0.8%
HoustonHOU	100%	90.0%	68.3%	6.1%	<0.1%	0.3%
Oklahoma StateOKST	-	100%	64.7%	6.3%	-	0.1%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	4-5	3-6	2-7	1-8	0-9	Avg Wins
Arizona StateASU(0-0)	2.5%	12.2%	24.7%	28.6%	20.3%	8.9%	2.4%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	6.1
TCUTCU(0-0)	2.1%	11.2%	24.4%	29.1%	20.7%	9.3%	2.7%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	6.0
KansasKU(0-0)	1.4%	7.7%	19.9%	27.6%	24.4%	13.4%	4.6%	0.9%	0.1%	<0.1%	5.7
Kansas StateKSU(0-0)	0.9%	6.1%	16.7%	26.1%	25.6%	16.3%	6.5%	1.6%	0.2%	<0.1%	5.5
BYUBYU(0-0)	0.8%	5.4%	15.6%	25.3%	26.0%	17.2%	7.3%	2.1%	0.3%	<0.1%	5.4
UtahUTAH(0-0)	0.4%	3.4%	11.5%	22.2%	26.6%	21.2%	10.7%	3.4%	0.6%	<0.1%	5.0
Iowa StateISU(0-0)	0.3%	2.8%	10.4%	21.7%	27.4%	22.1%	11.2%	3.4%	0.5%	<0.1%	4.9
BaylorBAY(0-0)	0.2%	2.3%	9.4%	20.7%	27.7%	22.9%	12.2%	3.8%	0.7%	<0.1%	4.9
ColoradoCOLO(0-0)	0.2%	2.1%	8.4%	18.9%	27.0%	24.5%	13.3%	4.7%	0.9%	<0.1%	4.7
UCFUCF(0-0)	0.1%	1.6%	7.5%	18.7%	27.4%	25.3%	14.0%	4.5%	0.8%	<0.1%	4.7
Texas TechTTU(0-0)	0.1%	1.4%	6.6%	17.0%	26.7%	25.9%	15.7%	5.5%	1.1%	<0.1%	4.6
CincinnatiCIN(0-0)	<0.1%	0.2%	1.4%	5.9%	15.8%	25.9%	27.0%	17.1%	5.9%	0.9%	3.5
ArizonaARIZ(0-0)	0.0%	0.1%	0.9%	4.3%	12.8%	24.1%	28.7%	20.2%	7.8%	1.1%	3.3
West VirginiaWVU(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.4%	2.5%	8.7%	19.7%	28.3%	24.9%	12.7%	2.7%	2.9
HoustonHOU(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.5%	6.2%	16.6%	27.6%	28.3%	15.9%	3.7%	2.6
Oklahoma StateOKST(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.7%	3.4%	11.3%	24.1%	31.4%	22.4%	6.6%	2.2

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com