Nevada

NevadaWolf Pack

1-1 T1st (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

NevadaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
@Penn StPSU
L11-46
29/06
vsSacramento StateSAC
W20-17
39/13
vsMTSUMTSU
Win prob:65%
49/20
@WKUWKU
Win prob:22%
610/04
@Fresno StFRES
Win prob:16%
710/11
vsSan Diego StSDSU
Win prob:53%
810/18
@New MexicoUNM
Win prob:36%
910/24
vsBoise StBOIS
Win prob:20%
1111/08
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:25%
1211/15
vsSan Jose StSJSU
Win prob:32%
1311/22
@WyomingWYO
Win prob:30%
1411/29
vsUNLVUNLV
Win prob:16%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
100.0%
7-1
0.1%
100.0%
6-2
0.6%
73.0%
5-3
3.5%
10.6%
4-4
11.8%
0.0%
3-5
25.1%
0%
2-6
31.2%
0%
1-7
21.6%
0%
0-8
6.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Nevada CCG Opponents

if Nevada makes the CCG

UNLVUNLV
42.0%
Boise StateBoise St
30.9%
Fresno StateFresno St
14.8%
San José StateSan Jose St
8.6%
Utah StateUtah St
3.7%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaThis Week's Impact

Game
NevadaCCG OddsAway
NevadaCCG OddsHome
New MexicoUNM@UCLAUCLA
0.9%
(+0.0%)		0.9%
(-0.0%)
Air ForceAF@Utah StUSU
0.8%
(-0.1%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
Portland StatePRST@HawaiiHAW
0.7%
(-0.2%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
MTSUMTSU@NevadaNEV
0.8%
(-0.1%)		0.9%
(+0.1%)
UtahUTAH@WyomingWYO
0.9%
(+0.0%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
SouthernSOU@Fresno StFRES
0.9%
(-0.0%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Nevada

New MexicoNew MexicoAir ForceAir ForcePortland StatePortland StateNevadaNevadaWyomingWyomingSouthernSouthern

CCG: 5.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Nevada

HawaiiHawai'iNevadaNevada

CCG: 0.9% • Scenario: 59.0%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Nevada CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Fresno St
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah St
100.0%
<0.1%
UNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
70.4%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
UNLVWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
WKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew Mexico
83.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Jose St
80.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StUNLV
75.0%
<0.1%
UNLVWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno St
57.1%
<0.1%
Boise StUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Jose St
50.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
UNLVUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNew Mexico
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUNLV
42.9%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Jose St
33.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
44.4%
0.7%
Boise StMTSUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUUNLVWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUUNLVWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StWKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUNLVWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUUNLVUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSan Jose StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew MexicoWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSan Diego StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSan Jose StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoWKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSan Jose StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew MexicoUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSan Diego StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Diego StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUNew Mexico
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Jose StWKU
94.1%
<0.1%
Utah StWKUWyoming
91.7%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Jose StWKU
87.5%
<0.1%
Boise StWKUWyoming
87.5%
<0.1%
UNLVWKUWyoming
85.7%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoWKU
85.7%
<0.1%
San Diego StUNLVWKU
85.7%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StWKU
83.3%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Jose StWKU
83.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah StWKU
82.3%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StWKU
79.4%
<0.1%
Fresno StWKUWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StUtah StWKU
75.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StMTSU
75.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StWKUWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUtah StWKU
72.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoWKU
72.7%
<0.1%
UNLVUtah StWKU
71.4%
<0.1%
San Jose StUNLVWKU
68.4%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUUNLV
66.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StUNLVWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Diego StUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUNew Mexico
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoSan Diego St
50.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSan Jose StUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoUtah St
41.7%
<0.1%
Boise StUNLVWKU
39.4%
<0.1%
New MexicoUNLVUtah St
35.7%
<0.1%
San Diego StSan Jose StWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
San Jose StUtah StWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StUNLV
25.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUNLVWyoming
25.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StSan Jose StUNLV
25.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoWyoming
22.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah StWyoming
21.4%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoUtah St
21.4%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Jose StUtah St
20.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUNLVUtah St
20.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoUNLV
17.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StUNLVWyoming
17.4%
<0.1%
New MexicoUtah StWyoming
14.3%
<0.1%
UNLVUtah StWyoming
14.3%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Jose StWyoming
14.3%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StUNLV
13.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Jose StUNLV
13.6%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StSan Diego St
12.5%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoSan Jose St
12.5%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoUNLV
11.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Jose StWyoming
10.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUNLVUtah St
9.4%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StUtah St
9.1%
<0.1%
Boise StUtah StWyoming
8.3%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StSan Jose St
7.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StUNLV
5.9%
<0.1%
Boise StUNLVUtah St
5.9%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com