Middle TennesseeBlue Raiders

0-2 T3rd (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsAustin PeayAPSU	L14-34
2	9/06	@WisconsinWIS	L10-42
3	9/13	@NevadaNEV	Win prob:35%
4	9/20	vsMarshallMRSH	Win prob:20%
5	9/27	@Kennesaw StateKENN	Win prob:37%
7	10/08	vsMissouri StateMOST	Win prob:43%
9	10/22	@DelawareDEL	Win prob:13%
10	10/29	vsJacksonville StateJXST	Win prob:12%
11	11/08	vsFlorida InternationalFIU	Win prob:37%
12	11/15	@Western KentuckyWKU	Win prob:17%
13	11/22	vsSam HoustonSHSU	Win prob:34%
14	11/29	@New Mexico StateNMSU	Win prob:40%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	100.0%
7-1	0.1%	93.9%
6-2	0.6%	59.2%
5-3	3.7%	5.9%
4-4	12.6%	0.0%
3-5	25.8%	0%
2-6	30.9%	0%
1-7	20.6%	0%
0-8	5.8%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

68.3%

10.0%

8.3%

6.7%

6.7%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
New Mexico StateNMSU@Louisiana TechLT	0.7% (+0.1%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
UConnCONN@DelawareDEL	0.7% (+0.1%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
SMUSMU@Missouri StateMOST	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
LibertyLIB@Bowling GreenBGSU	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
Jacksonville StateJXST@Georgia SouthernGASO	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.7% (+0.1%)
UTEPUTEP@TexasTEX	0.7% (+0.1%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
Florida AtlanticFAU@Florida InternationalFIU	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
Middle TennesseeMTSU@NevadaNEV	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
MerrimackMRMK@Kennesaw StateKENN	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.6% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Louisiana Tech

Delaware

Missouri State

Liberty

Jacksonville State

UTEP

Florida Atlantic

Middle Tennessee

CCG: 33.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Liberty

Georgia Southern

Texas

CCG: 0.8% • Scenario: 11.4%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

45.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com