Louisiana

LouisianaRagin' Cajuns

1-1 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

10.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

LouisianaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsRiceRICE
L12-14
29/06
vsMcNeeseMCN
W34-10
39/13
@MissouriMIZ
Win prob:21%
49/20
@E MichiganEMU
Win prob:71%
59/27
vsMarshallMRSH
Win prob:50%
710/11
@James MadisonJMU
Win prob:22%
810/18
vsSouthern MissUSM
Win prob:91%
910/25
@TroyTROY
Win prob:40%
1011/01
@South AlabamaUSA
Win prob:30%
1111/08
vsTexas StTXST
Win prob:35%
1311/20
@Arkansas StARST
Win prob:59%
1411/29
vsULMULM
Win prob:80%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

LouisianaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.2%
100.0%
7-1
2.3%
74.4%
6-2
10.1%
44.6%
5-3
23.6%
15.5%
4-4
31.3%
1.8%
3-5
22.4%
0%
2-6
8.5%
0%
1-7
1.4%
0%
0-8
0.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Louisiana CCG Opponents

if Louisiana makes the CCG

James MadisonJames Madison
52.4%
MarshallMarshall
23.9%
Old DominionOld Dominion
10.9%
App StateAppalachian St
9.9%
Georgia SouthernGa Southern
2.9%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

LouisianaThis Week's Impact

Game
LouisianaCCG OddsAway
LouisianaCCG OddsHome
Iowa StISU@Arkansas StARST
10.7%
(-0.0%)		10.7%
(+0.0%)
South AlabamaUSA@AuburnAUB
10.7%
(-0.0%)		10.7%
(+0.0%)
Murray StateMUR@Georgia StGAST
11.1%
(+0.4%)		10.6%
(-0.0%)
LouisianaUL@MissouriMIZ
10.9%
(+0.2%)		10.6%
(-0.1%)
Jacksonville StJXST@Ga SouthernGASO
10.7%
(+0.0%)		10.7%
(+0.0%)
MemphisMEM@TroyTROY
10.9%
(+0.2%)		10.4%
(-0.3%)
Old DominionODU@Virginia TechVT
11.0%
(+0.3%)		10.5%
(-0.1%)
Texas StTXST@Arizona StASU
10.7%
(+0.0%)		10.7%
(-0.0%)
Eastern KentuckyEKU@MarshallMRSH
10.6%
(-0.1%)		10.7%
(+0.0%)
Appalachian StAPP@Southern MissUSM
10.6%
(-0.1%)		10.9%
(+0.3%)
East CarolinaECU@Coastal CarCCU
10.7%
(+0.0%)		10.6%
(-0.1%)

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

LouisianaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Louisiana CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
78.7%
0.5%
ULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Marshall
100.0%
<0.1%
E Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri
100.0%
0.1%
James Madison
100.0%
0.1%
Southern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas St
81.3%
<0.1%
Troy
64.1%
<0.1%
South Alabama
44.7%
<0.1%
Texas St
19.1%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
68.8%
2.6%
E MichiganMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonMissouri
100.0%
0.4%
MarshallMissouri
100.0%
0.1%
MissouriSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StE Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonMarshall
100.0%
0.1%
E MichiganJames Madison
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallULM
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Southern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames Madison
98.7%
<0.1%
MissouriULM
97.1%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMissouri
96.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonULM
96.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshall
95.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonTroy
79.1%
0.1%
E MichiganTroy
75.0%
<0.1%
MissouriTroy
72.8%
0.2%
E MichiganSouth Alabama
67.7%
<0.1%
MarshallSouth Alabama
67.6%
<0.1%
MarshallTroy
66.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouth Alabama
62.6%
0.2%
MissouriSouth Alabama
59.7%
0.3%
Arkansas StULM
50.0%
<0.1%
Southern MissTroy
33.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonTexas St
28.3%
0.2%
MarshallTexas St
27.8%
<0.1%
MissouriTexas St
24.0%
0.2%
TroyULM
21.4%
<0.1%
South AlabamaSouthern Miss
21.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas StTroy
15.4%
<0.1%
E MichiganTexas St
15.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas StSouth Alabama
10.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas StTexas St
6.5%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
39.7%
9.3%
E MichiganJames MadisonMissouri
100.0%
0.2%
James MadisonMarshallMissouri
100.0%
0.4%
James MadisonMarshallULM
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMarshallMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganJames MadisonMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StE MichiganMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonMissouriSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallMissouriSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMarshallULM
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonMarshallSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMissouriULM
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMissouriSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganJames MadisonSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonMarshall
98.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonMissouriULM
98.3%
0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonMissouri
97.1%
0.3%
Arkansas StE MichiganMissouri
94.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallMissouri
93.8%
<0.1%
MarshallMissouriULM
92.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StE MichiganJames Madison
87.5%
<0.1%
E MichiganJames MadisonULM
85.7%
<0.1%
E MichiganMarshallTroy
85.0%
<0.1%
MarshallMissouriTroy
77.1%
0.2%
James MadisonMarshallTroy
75.2%
0.1%
James MadisonMissouriTroy
72.3%
0.6%
E MichiganMissouriTroy
72.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganJames MadisonTroy
67.2%
<0.1%
E MichiganJames MadisonSouth Alabama
67.0%
0.1%
James MadisonMarshallSouth Alabama
65.0%
0.2%
E MichiganMarshallSouth Alabama
62.5%
<0.1%
MarshallMissouriSouth Alabama
61.8%
0.3%
James MadisonMissouriSouth Alabama
59.7%
0.9%
E MichiganMissouriSouth Alabama
54.5%
0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallULM
50.0%
<0.1%
MarshallSouthern MissTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMissouriSouthern Miss
40.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonULM
37.5%
<0.1%
E MichiganTexas StULM
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMissouriULM
31.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonMarshallTexas St
27.5%
0.2%
E MichiganMarshallTexas St
27.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonMissouriTexas St
25.7%
0.8%
Arkansas StJames MadisonSouthern Miss
25.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouthern MissTroy
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StE MichiganTroy
25.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganJames MadisonTexas St
24.5%
<0.1%
MissouriTroyULM
23.5%
<0.1%
MarshallMissouriTexas St
23.5%
0.2%
E MichiganMissouriTexas St
19.1%
<0.1%
E MichiganSouth AlabamaULM
18.2%
<0.1%
Arkansas StE MichiganTexas St
18.2%
<0.1%
MarshallTroyULM
16.7%
<0.1%
MissouriSouthern MissTroy
16.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
16.3%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth AlabamaULM
15.1%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallTroy
13.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMissouriTroy
12.0%
0.1%
James MadisonTroyULM
11.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouth AlabamaULM
11.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonTroy
10.7%
0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonSouth Alabama
10.2%
0.2%
Arkansas StE MichiganSouth Alabama
9.1%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallSouth Alabama
8.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMissouriSouth Alabama
7.4%
0.2%
MarshallSouth AlabamaULM
6.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouth AlabamaTroy
4.5%
0.4%
James MadisonTexas StULM
4.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallTexas St
2.6%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth AlabamaTroy
2.0%
0.4%
Arkansas StMissouriTexas St
1.4%
0.1%
James MadisonTexas StTroy
1.4%
0.3%
MissouriTexas StTroy
1.0%
0.3%
MarshallSouth AlabamaTexas St
1.0%
0.1%
James MadisonSouth AlabamaTexas St
0.8%
0.5%
Arkansas StJames MadisonTexas St
0.8%
0.1%
MissouriSouth AlabamaTexas St
0.6%
0.5%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

LouisianaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com