Auburn

AuburnTigers

2-0 T2nd (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

AuburnSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/29
@BaylorBAY
W38-24
29/06
vsBall StBALL
W42-3
39/13
vsSouth AlabamaUSA
Win prob:65%
49/20
@OklahomaOU
Win prob:37%
59/27
@Texas A&MTA&M
Win prob:30%
710/11
vsGeorgiaUGA
Win prob:10%
810/18
vsMissouriMIZ
Win prob:53%
910/25
@ArkansasARK
Win prob:47%
1011/01
vsKentuckyUK
Win prob:71%
1111/08
@VanderbiltVAN
Win prob:58%
1311/22
vsMercerMER
Win prob:90%
1411/29
vsAlabamaALA
Win prob:37%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

AuburnRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.7%
74.3%
6-2
4.9%
9.1%
5-3
14.7%
0.0%
4-4
27.2%
0%
3-5
28.5%
0%
2-6
17.5%
0%
1-7
5.7%
0%
0-8
0.7%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Auburn CCG Opponents

if Auburn makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
63.3%
Ole MissMississippi
19.4%
TexasTexas
9.2%
TennesseeTennessee
6.1%
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
2.0%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

AuburnThis Week's Impact

Game
AuburnCCG OddsAway
AuburnCCG OddsHome
ArkansasARK@MississippiMISS
1.7%
(+0.7%)		1.0%
(-0.1%)
FloridaFLA@LSULSU
1.0%
(+0.0%)		1.0%
(-0.0%)
South AlabamaUSA@AuburnAUB
1.0%
(+0.0%)		1.0%
(-0.0%)
E MichiganEMU@KentuckyUK
1.0%
(-0.0%)		1.0%
(+0.0%)
VanderbiltVAN@South CarolinaSC
1.1%
(+0.1%)		1.0%
(-0.0%)
LouisianaUL@MissouriMIZ
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.0%
(-0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@TexasTEX
1.3%
(+0.3%)		1.0%
(-0.0%)
Alcorn StateALCN@Mississippi StMSST
1.1%
(+0.1%)		1.0%
(-0.0%)
WisconsinWIS@AlabamaALA
1.0%
(+0.0%)		1.0%
(+0.0%)
OklahomaOU@TempleTEM
1.0%
(+0.0%)		0.9%
(-0.1%)
Texas A&MTA&M@Notre DameND
1.0%
(+0.0%)		1.0%
(+0.0%)
GeorgiaUGA@TennesseeTENN
1.0%
(+0.0%)		1.0%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

AuburnLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Auburn CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
75.0%
0.4%
Vanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
Mercer
100.0%
<0.1%
South Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama
91.2%
<0.1%
Oklahoma
90.9%
<0.1%
Texas A&M
88.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas
85.3%
<0.1%
Kentucky
66.7%
<0.1%
Georgia
62.6%
0.2%
Any 2 losses
15.5%
3.2%
MercerVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
South AlabamaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth Alabama
87.5%
<0.1%
KentuckySouth Alabama
87.5%
<0.1%
South AlabamaTexas A&M
86.1%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth Alabama
84.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaSouth Alabama
82.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasMercer
80.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercer
76.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth Alabama
71.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth Alabama
60.9%
0.1%
ArkansasKentucky
36.4%
<0.1%
MissouriVanderbilt
35.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyTexas A&M
23.5%
<0.1%
MissouriTexas A&M
22.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasVanderbilt
20.8%
<0.1%
ArkansasMissouri
20.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahoma
16.7%
<0.1%
KentuckyVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahoma
15.1%
<0.1%
Texas A&MVanderbilt
14.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexas A&M
12.9%
0.1%
MissouriOklahoma
12.5%
<0.1%
OklahomaVanderbilt
12.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansas
11.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasTexas A&M
11.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaMissouri
10.4%
<0.1%
OklahomaTexas A&M
10.1%
0.1%
AlabamaVanderbilt
9.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMissouri
9.4%
0.2%
AlabamaGeorgia
9.2%
0.4%
GeorgiaKentucky
8.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexas A&M
8.3%
0.5%
GeorgiaVanderbilt
7.7%
0.2%
AlabamaKentucky
6.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahoma
6.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgia
4.7%
0.3%
GeorgiaOklahoma
4.0%
0.4%
Any 3 losses
8.4%
2.1%
ArkansasMercerSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMercerSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMercerOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth Alabama
66.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentuckySouth Alabama
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMercerMissouri
33.3%
<0.1%
MercerTexas A&MVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasMercerOklahoma
33.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyMissouriSouth Alabama
33.3%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
22.2%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
20.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahomaSouth Alabama
18.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaMercerTexas A&M
18.2%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaTexas A&M
18.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerVanderbilt
17.6%
<0.1%
South AlabamaTexas A&MVanderbilt
17.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckySouth Alabama
16.7%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
16.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasSouth Alabama
15.8%
<0.1%
ArkansasMissouriSouth Alabama
15.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
15.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMissouriSouth Alabama
14.4%
0.1%
GeorgiaSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
14.3%
0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaSouth Alabama
13.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
13.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerMissouri
11.5%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaSouth Alabama
11.1%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
10.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMissouriSouth Alabama
9.1%
<0.1%
KentuckySouth AlabamaTexas A&M
9.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
9.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
9.1%
0.3%
GeorgiaMercerTexas A&M
8.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaSouth Alabama
8.1%
0.2%
ArkansasSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
6.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckySouth Alabama
6.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaMercer
5.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerOklahoma
5.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaSouth Alabama
5.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaSouth Alabama
4.4%
0.2%
AlabamaGeorgiaMercer
2.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaSouth Alabama
0.9%
0.2%
GeorgiaMissouriVanderbilt
0.7%
0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyTexas A&M
0.5%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
16.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasMercerSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth AlabamaTexas A&MVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyMercerSouth Alabama
40.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMercerOklahomaSouth Alabama
33.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
14.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerOklahomaSouth Alabama
5.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

AuburnCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com