MissouriTigers

2-0 T2nd (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

3.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsCentral ArkansasCARK	W61-6
2	9/06	vsKansasKU	W42-31
3	9/13	vsLouisianaUL	Win prob:79%
4	9/20	vsSouth CarolinaSC	Win prob:45%
5	9/27	vsMassachusettsMASS	Win prob:97%
7	10/11	vsAlabamaALA	Win prob:41%
8	10/18	@AuburnAUB	Win prob:47%
9	10/25	@VanderbiltVAN	Win prob:62%
11	11/08	vsTexas A&MTA&M	Win prob:49%
12	11/15	vsMississippi StateMSST	Win prob:83%
13	11/22	@OklahomaOU	Win prob:41%
14	11/29	@ArkansasARK	Win prob:52%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0.5%	99.8%
7-1	3.7%	50.7%
6-2	12.7%	4.9%
5-3	24.4%	0.0%
4-4	28.2%	0%
3-5	20.1%	0%
2-6	8.4%	0%
1-7	1.9%	0%
0-8	0.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

62.0%

20.8%

9.2%

6.0%

2.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
ArkansasARK@Ole MissMISS	4.6% (+1.7%)	2.8% (-0.1%)
FloridaFLA@LSULSU	3.0% (+0.0%)	2.9% (-0.0%)
South AlabamaUSA@AuburnAUB	3.0% (+0.0%)	3.0% (+0.0%)
Eastern MichiganEMU@KentuckyUK	3.0% (+0.0%)	3.0% (+0.0%)
VanderbiltVAN@South CarolinaSC	3.1% (+0.1%)	2.9% (-0.0%)
LouisianaUL@MissouriMIZ	2.9% (-0.1%)	3.0% (+0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@TexasTEX	2.8% (-0.2%)	3.0% (+0.0%)
Alcorn StateALCN@Mississippi StateMSST	2.7% (-0.2%)	3.0% (+0.0%)
WisconsinWIS@AlabamaALA	3.0% (+0.0%)	3.0% (-0.0%)
OklahomaOU@TempleTEM	3.0% (+0.0%)	2.8% (-0.1%)
Texas A&MTA&M@Notre DameND	2.5% (-0.5%)	3.0% (+0.0%)
GeorgiaUGA@TennesseeTENN	2.9% (-0.1%)	3.3% (+0.4%)

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

99.7%

0.4%

Any 1 loss

53.1%

3.0%

100.0%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

55.6%

0.2%

55.0%

0.4%

54.7%

0.4%

51.6%

0.5%

51.6%

<0.1%

51.5%

0.4%

46.3%

0.5%

45.2%

0.3%

Any 2 losses

8.4%

10.6%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

85.7%

<0.1%

61.5%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

59.6%

<0.1%

57.3%

0.1%

56.1%

0.1%

53.8%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

49.2%

0.1%

46.2%

<0.1%

43.5%

0.1%

42.2%

0.1%

38.0%

<0.1%

30.0%

<0.1%

10.3%

0.4%

10.1%

0.5%

8.8%

0.3%

8.5%

<0.1%

7.5%

0.5%

6.8%

0.2%

6.5%

0.3%

6.0%

0.3%

5.3%

0.6%

5.3%

0.1%

5.3%

0.6%

5.0%

0.3%

5.0%

0.5%

4.6%

0.4%

4.2%

0.1%

4.2%

<0.1%

4.1%

<0.1%

3.8%

0.5%

3.7%

0.2%

3.6%

0.5%

3.6%

<0.1%

3.5%

0.1%

2.9%

0.8%

2.7%

0.3%

2.7%

0.4%

2.4%

0.6%

2.3%

0.4%

1.8%

0.4%

Any 3 losses

5.4%

2.8%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

21.4%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

15.4%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

13.0%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

9.5%

<0.1%

8.7%

<0.1%

8.7%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

7.4%

<0.1%

7.3%

<0.1%

7.1%

0.1%

7.1%

0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

6.4%

0.1%

5.7%

0.2%

5.6%

<0.1%

5.3%

0.1%

4.7%

0.2%

4.5%

<0.1%

4.3%

<0.1%

4.2%

<0.1%

4.0%

<0.1%

3.4%

0.1%

3.3%

0.1%

3.2%

0.2%

3.2%

0.2%

2.9%

0.1%

2.9%

0.1%

2.8%

0.1%

2.3%

<0.1%

1.2%

<0.1%

1.1%

<0.1%

Any 4 losses

19.1%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com