ULM

UL MonroeWarhawks

2-1 T3rd (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2025-09-21 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

ULMSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/28
vsSt. Francis (PA)SFPA
W29-0
29/06
@AlabamaALA
L0-73
49/20
@UTEPUTEP
W31-25
59/27
vsArkansas StARST
Win prob:38%
610/04
@NorthwesternNU
Win prob:12%
710/11
@Coastal CarCCU
Win prob:35%
810/18
vsTroyTROY
Win prob:18%
910/25
@Southern MissUSM
Win prob:34%
1011/01
vsOld DominionODU
Win prob:11%
1211/15
vsSouth AlabamaUSA
Win prob:11%
1311/22
@Texas StTXST
Win prob:5%
1411/29
@LouisianaUL
Win prob:15%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
0%
7-1
0.0%
71.4%
6-2
0.1%
32.4%
5-3
0.8%
6.0%
4-4
4.5%
0.9%
3-5
15.9%
0%
2-6
31.5%
0%
1-7
33.0%
0%
0-8
14.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely ULM CCG Opponents

if ULM makes the CCG

James MadisonJames Madison
45.5%
MarshallMarshall
27.3%
Old DominionOld Dominion
18.2%
App StateAppalachian St
9.1%
Georgia SouthernGa Southern
0.0%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMThis Week's Impact

Game
ULMCCG OddsAway
ULMCCG OddsHome
Jacksonville StJXST@Southern MissUSM
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@LouisianaUL
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
South AlabamaUSA@North TexasUNT
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Ga SouthernGASO@James MadisonJMU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
LibertyLIB@Old DominionODU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(-0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@ULMULM
0.0%
(-0.1%)		0.3%
(+0.1%)
Appalachian StAPP@Boise StBOIS
0.2%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for ULM

Southern MissSouthern MissMarshallMarshallSouth AlabamaSouth AlabamaGa SouthernGeorgia SouthernLibertyLibertyULMUL MonroeBoise StBoise State

CCG: 3.7% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for ULM

ULMUL Monroe

CCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 37.7%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
ULM CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarTexas St
100.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternTexas St
33.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
48.6%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOld DominionTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOld DominionSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNorthwesternOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOld DominionSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNorthwesternSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOld DominionTexas St
66.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOld DominionSouth Alabama
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarNorthwesternTexas St
50.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern MissTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisianaSouthern Miss
50.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOld DominionTexas St
33.3%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern MissTexas St
33.3%
<0.1%
NorthwesternSouthern MissTexas St
33.3%
<0.1%
Old DominionTexas StTroy
12.5%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com