TempleOwls

3-2 T1st (1-0) in AAC

Data from 2025-10-05 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	@MassachusettsMASS	W42-10
2	9/06	vsHowardHOW	W55-7
3	9/13	vsOklahomaOU	L3-42
4	9/20	@Georgia TechGT	L24-45
6	10/04	vsUTSAUTSA	W27-21
7	10/11	vsNavyNAVY	Win prob:16%
8	10/18	@CharlotteCLT	Win prob:45%
9	10/25	@TulsaTLSA	Win prob:60%
10	11/01	vsEast CarolinaECU	Win prob:16%
11	11/08	@ArmyARMY	Win prob:10%
13	11/22	vsTulaneTULN	Win prob:14%
14	11/28	@North TexasUNT	Win prob:6%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	100.0%
7-1	0.0%	89.5%
6-2	0.5%	30.9%
5-3	3.6%	0.1%
4-4	15.8%	0%
3-5	35.0%	0%
2-6	34.0%	0%
1-7	11.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

38.9%

33.3%

11.1%

11.1%

5.6%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
NavyNAVY@TempleTEM	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.9% (+0.8%)
CharlotteCLT@ArmyARMY	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
UABUAB@Florida AtlanticFAU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
East CarolinaECU@TulaneTULN	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
RiceRICE@UTSAUTSA	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
South FloridaUSF@North TexasUNT	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Temple

Charlotte

Florida Atlantic

Tulane

Rice

South Florida

CCG: 5.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Temple

CCG: 0.9% • Scenario: 16.1%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

91.7%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

86.7%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

32.2%

0.5%

100.0%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

48.6%

<0.1%

45.7%

<0.1%

45.0%

<0.1%

37.5%

<0.1%

33.7%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

31.5%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

23.8%

<0.1%

23.1%

<0.1%

22.9%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

6.6%

<0.1%

6.3%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com